The United States continues observing its voluntary nuclear testing moratorium since 1992, with no explosive tests conducted and NNSA confirming no active preparations despite authorization in the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act for potential underground detonations at Nevada National Security Site. President Trump's October 2025 vow to resume testing amid concerns over Russia and China activities persists as a backdrop, but Senator Jacky Rosen's April 13, 2026, site visit highlighted strong local and congressional opposition to radiation and economic risks. April 29 UN appeals reinforced global restraint. Traders eye FY2026 appropriations votes, DOE announcements, and executive actions as key catalysts, given technical readiness timelines of months to years per CSIS analysis.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Prueba nuclear de EE. UU. realizada por...?
¿Prueba nuclear de EE. UU. realizada por...?
$665,496 Vol.
30 jun 2026
30 de junio de 2026
2%
30 de septiembre de 2026
6%
31 de diciembre de 2026
9%
$665,496 Vol.
30 de junio de 2026
$39,475 Vol.
2%
30 de septiembre de 2026
$5,584 Vol.
6%
31 de diciembre de 2026
$10,218 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The United States continues observing its voluntary nuclear testing moratorium since 1992, with no explosive tests conducted and NNSA confirming no active preparations despite authorization in the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act for potential underground detonations at Nevada National Security Site. President Trump's October 2025 vow to resume testing amid concerns over Russia and China activities persists as a backdrop, but Senator Jacky Rosen's April 13, 2026, site visit highlighted strong local and congressional opposition to radiation and economic risks. April 29 UN appeals reinforced global restraint. Traders eye FY2026 appropriations votes, DOE announcements, and executive actions as key catalysts, given technical readiness timelines of months to years per CSIS analysis.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Volumen
$665,496Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The United States continues observing its voluntary nuclear testing moratorium since 1992, with no explosive tests conducted and NNSA confirming no active preparations despite authorization in the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act for potential underground detonations at Nevada National Security Site. President Trump's October 2025 vow to resume testing amid concerns over Russia and China activities persists as a backdrop, but Senator Jacky Rosen's April 13, 2026, site visit highlighted strong local and congressional opposition to radiation and economic risks. April 29 UN appeals reinforced global restraint. Traders eye FY2026 appropriations votes, DOE announcements, and executive actions as key catalysts, given technical readiness timelines of months to years per CSIS analysis.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$665,496Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The United States continues observing its voluntary nuclear testing moratorium since 1992, with no explosive tests conducted and NNSA confirming no active preparations despite authorization in the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act for potential underground detonations at Nevada National Security Site. President Trump's October 2025 vow to resume testing amid concerns over Russia and China activities persists as a backdrop, but Senator Jacky Rosen's April 13, 2026, site visit highlighted strong local and congressional opposition to radiation and economic risks. April 29 UN appeals reinforced global restraint. Traders eye FY2026 appropriations votes, DOE announcements, and executive actions as key catalysts, given technical readiness timelines of months to years per CSIS analysis.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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