**US and China trade relations have stabilized following the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit, which established bilateral boards of trade and investment to manage non-sensitive goods, set agricultural purchase commitments, and address select tariff and non-tariff issues without requiring a new comprehensive tariff pact.** Existing reciprocal tariffs remain in place at reduced levels from prior truces, with implementation handled through ongoing institutional channels rather than deadline-driven negotiations. No high-level summits, legislative votes, or acute escalations are scheduled in the narrow window before June 30. Trader consensus at 95.6% against an agreement by that date reflects the absence of immediate catalysts and the complexity of bilateral trade talks. Late developments such as an unexpected leader statement or rapid concession on critical minerals could still shift momentum, though historical patterns show such pacts typically unfold over months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$28,786 Vol.
$28,786 Vol.
30 jun 2026
$28,786 Vol.
$28,786 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.**US and China trade relations have stabilized following the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit, which established bilateral boards of trade and investment to manage non-sensitive goods, set agricultural purchase commitments, and address select tariff and non-tariff issues without requiring a new comprehensive tariff pact.** Existing reciprocal tariffs remain in place at reduced levels from prior truces, with implementation handled through ongoing institutional channels rather than deadline-driven negotiations. No high-level summits, legislative votes, or acute escalations are scheduled in the narrow window before June 30. Trader consensus at 95.6% against an agreement by that date reflects the absence of immediate catalysts and the complexity of bilateral trade talks. Late developments such as an unexpected leader statement or rapid concession on critical minerals could still shift momentum, though historical patterns show such pacts typically unfold over months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercado abierto: May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Volumen
$28,786Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.**US and China trade relations have stabilized following the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit, which established bilateral boards of trade and investment to manage non-sensitive goods, set agricultural purchase commitments, and address select tariff and non-tariff issues without requiring a new comprehensive tariff pact.** Existing reciprocal tariffs remain in place at reduced levels from prior truces, with implementation handled through ongoing institutional channels rather than deadline-driven negotiations. No high-level summits, legislative votes, or acute escalations are scheduled in the narrow window before June 30. Trader consensus at 95.6% against an agreement by that date reflects the absence of immediate catalysts and the complexity of bilateral trade talks. Late developments such as an unexpected leader statement or rapid concession on critical minerals could still shift momentum, though historical patterns show such pacts typically unfold over months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volumen
$28,786Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**US and China trade relations have stabilized following the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit, which established bilateral boards of trade and investment to manage non-sensitive goods, set agricultural purchase commitments, and address select tariff and non-tariff issues without requiring a new comprehensive tariff pact.** Existing reciprocal tariffs remain in place at reduced levels from prior truces, with implementation handled through ongoing institutional channels rather than deadline-driven negotiations. No high-level summits, legislative votes, or acute escalations are scheduled in the narrow window before June 30. Trader consensus at 95.6% against an agreement by that date reflects the absence of immediate catalysts and the complexity of bilateral trade talks. Late developments such as an unexpected leader statement or rapid concession on critical minerals could still shift momentum, though historical patterns show such pacts typically unfold over months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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