The leading $1.75–2.00 trillion range holds a 56.5% market-implied probability because SpaceX’s April 2026 confidential SEC filing explicitly targets this level for a potential June IPO, aiming to raise up to $75 billion. Recent private valuations provide context, having risen from roughly $800 billion in late 2025 to $1.25 trillion after the xAI merger, supported by Starlink subscriber growth and launch revenue that analysts project could command 60–95 times forward revenue multiples. Upcoming catalysts include the formal prospectus release and broader equity-market sentiment, which could shift odds if regulatory reviews or macroeconomic data alter investor appetite for such premium pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado1,75-2,00 billones 61%
2,00-2,25T 12%
2.25-2.50T 7.7%
2.50T+ 5.9%
$133,822 Vol.
$133,822 Vol.
<1,25B
2%
1.25-1.50T
4%
1,50-1,75T
21%
1,75-2,00 billones
57%
2,00-2,25T
22%
2.25-2.50T
8%
2.50T+
6%
1,75-2,00 billones 61%
2,00-2,25T 12%
2.25-2.50T 7.7%
2.50T+ 5.9%
$133,822 Vol.
$133,822 Vol.
<1,25B
$60,444 Vol.
2%
1.25-1.50T
$16,039 Vol.
4%
1,50-1,75T
$9,240 Vol.
21%
1,75-2,00 billones
$12,949 Vol.
57%
2,00-2,25T
$14,316 Vol.
22%
2.25-2.50T
$10,055 Vol.
8%
2.50T+
$10,779 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The leading $1.75–2.00 trillion range holds a 56.5% market-implied probability because SpaceX’s April 2026 confidential SEC filing explicitly targets this level for a potential June IPO, aiming to raise up to $75 billion. Recent private valuations provide context, having risen from roughly $800 billion in late 2025 to $1.25 trillion after the xAI merger, supported by Starlink subscriber growth and launch revenue that analysts project could command 60–95 times forward revenue multiples. Upcoming catalysts include the formal prospectus release and broader equity-market sentiment, which could shift odds if regulatory reviews or macroeconomic data alter investor appetite for such premium pricing.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volumen
$133,822Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The leading $1.75–2.00 trillion range holds a 56.5% market-implied probability because SpaceX’s April 2026 confidential SEC filing explicitly targets this level for a potential June IPO, aiming to raise up to $75 billion. Recent private valuations provide context, having risen from roughly $800 billion in late 2025 to $1.25 trillion after the xAI merger, supported by Starlink subscriber growth and launch revenue that analysts project could command 60–95 times forward revenue multiples. Upcoming catalysts include the formal prospectus release and broader equity-market sentiment, which could shift odds if regulatory reviews or macroeconomic data alter investor appetite for such premium pricing.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$133,822Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The leading $1.75–2.00 trillion range holds a 56.5% market-implied probability because SpaceX’s April 2026 confidential SEC filing explicitly targets this level for a potential June IPO, aiming to raise up to $75 billion. Recent private valuations provide context, having risen from roughly $800 billion in late 2025 to $1.25 trillion after the xAI merger, supported by Starlink subscriber growth and launch revenue that analysts project could command 60–95 times forward revenue multiples. Upcoming catalysts include the formal prospectus release and broader equity-market sentiment, which could shift odds if regulatory reviews or macroeconomic data alter investor appetite for such premium pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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