Traders assign the highest probability to Jerome Powell departing as Federal Reserve Chair during the week of May 15–22, aligning with the scheduled expiration of his term. Recent administration signals on leadership transitions and the timing of potential successor nominations have reinforced expectations for an immediate shift. Senate confirmation processes, historical precedent for chairs stepping down at term end, and upcoming policy announcements in the resolution window represent the primary drivers. Any delay in nomination or unexpected reappointment signals could shift probabilities toward later intervals in May or June, though current positioning reflects broad consensus around the term-end date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 55.7%
May 23–29 25.7%
May 30–June 5 5.5%
June 6–12 2.1%
$157,585 Vol.
$157,585 Vol.
3 jul 2026
May 15–22
51%
May 23–29
26%
May 30–June 5
5%
June 6–12
2%
June 13–19
2%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
1%
After July 3
<1%
May 15–22 55.7%
May 23–29 25.7%
May 30–June 5 5.5%
June 6–12 2.1%
$157,585 Vol.
$157,585 Vol.
3 jul 2026
May 15–22
$55,599 Vol.
51%
May 23–29
$7,676 Vol.
26%
May 30–June 5
$8,963 Vol.
5%
June 6–12
$8,910 Vol.
2%
June 13–19
$8,726 Vol.
2%
June 20–26
$9,942 Vol.
1%
June 27–July 3
$5,051 Vol.
1%
After July 3
$15,767 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign the highest probability to Jerome Powell departing as Federal Reserve Chair during the week of May 15–22, aligning with the scheduled expiration of his term. Recent administration signals on leadership transitions and the timing of potential successor nominations have reinforced expectations for an immediate shift. Senate confirmation processes, historical precedent for chairs stepping down at term end, and upcoming policy announcements in the resolution window represent the primary drivers. Any delay in nomination or unexpected reappointment signals could shift probabilities toward later intervals in May or June, though current positioning reflects broad consensus around the term-end date.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Volumen
$157,585Fecha de finalización
3 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign the highest probability to Jerome Powell departing as Federal Reserve Chair during the week of May 15–22, aligning with the scheduled expiration of his term. Recent administration signals on leadership transitions and the timing of potential successor nominations have reinforced expectations for an immediate shift. Senate confirmation processes, historical precedent for chairs stepping down at term end, and upcoming policy announcements in the resolution window represent the primary drivers. Any delay in nomination or unexpected reappointment signals could shift probabilities toward later intervals in May or June, though current positioning reflects broad consensus around the term-end date.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$157,585Fecha de finalización
3 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest probability to Jerome Powell departing as Federal Reserve Chair during the week of May 15–22, aligning with the scheduled expiration of his term. Recent administration signals on leadership transitions and the timing of potential successor nominations have reinforced expectations for an immediate shift. Senate confirmation processes, historical precedent for chairs stepping down at term end, and upcoming policy announcements in the resolution window represent the primary drivers. Any delay in nomination or unexpected reappointment signals could shift probabilities toward later intervals in May or June, though current positioning reflects broad consensus around the term-end date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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