Jerome Powell completed his term as Federal Reserve chair on May 15, 2026, stepping down on schedule after eight years and handing the role to confirmed successor Kevin Warsh. His April announcement that he would remain on the Board of Governors briefly to address an ongoing inspector general review of headquarters renovations, combined with the Senate Banking Committee’s advancement of Warsh’s nomination, reinforced the expected timeline and reduced any early-departure risk. Traders viewed the outcome as driven primarily by the fixed statutory term limits rather than political pressure or resignation signals, with the recent confirmation vote and final policy meeting serving as the last major catalysts before resolution. No further events within the immediate window are expected to alter the departure date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$138,107 Vol.
May 16
4%
June 30
99%
May 31
89%
$138,107 Vol.
May 16
4%
June 30
99%
May 31
89%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell completed his term as Federal Reserve chair on May 15, 2026, stepping down on schedule after eight years and handing the role to confirmed successor Kevin Warsh. His April announcement that he would remain on the Board of Governors briefly to address an ongoing inspector general review of headquarters renovations, combined with the Senate Banking Committee’s advancement of Warsh’s nomination, reinforced the expected timeline and reduced any early-departure risk. Traders viewed the outcome as driven primarily by the fixed statutory term limits rather than political pressure or resignation signals, with the recent confirmation vote and final policy meeting serving as the last major catalysts before resolution. No further events within the immediate window are expected to alter the departure date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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