Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, anchoring the strongest trader consensus around the May 15–22 window. Senate confirmation of successor Kevin Warsh and Powell’s explicit confirmation that he would relinquish the chairmanship while retaining his governor seat through 2028 have clarified the timeline. Recent board actions naming Powell chair pro tempore to bridge the transition period, combined with lingering legal and political pressures on the institution, have reinforced expectations that the formal handover will occur within the next several days. These developments have concentrated probabilities in the immediate weeks ahead while leaving limited room for delays tied to swearing-in logistics or institutional continuity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 46.0%
May 23–29 28.7%
May 30–June 5 6.2%
June 6–12 2.6%
$169,680 Vol.
$169,680 Vol.
3 jul 2026
May 15–22
45%
May 23–29
35%
May 30–June 5
6%
June 6–12
3%
June 13–19
2%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
1%
After July 3
1%
May 15–22 46.0%
May 23–29 28.7%
May 30–June 5 6.2%
June 6–12 2.6%
$169,680 Vol.
$169,680 Vol.
3 jul 2026
May 15–22
$65,200 Vol.
45%
May 23–29
$8,345 Vol.
35%
May 30–June 5
$9,137 Vol.
6%
June 6–12
$9,059 Vol.
3%
June 13–19
$8,855 Vol.
2%
June 20–26
$10,436 Vol.
1%
June 27–July 3
$5,200 Vol.
1%
After July 3
$16,497 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, anchoring the strongest trader consensus around the May 15–22 window. Senate confirmation of successor Kevin Warsh and Powell’s explicit confirmation that he would relinquish the chairmanship while retaining his governor seat through 2028 have clarified the timeline. Recent board actions naming Powell chair pro tempore to bridge the transition period, combined with lingering legal and political pressures on the institution, have reinforced expectations that the formal handover will occur within the next several days. These developments have concentrated probabilities in the immediate weeks ahead while leaving limited room for delays tied to swearing-in logistics or institutional continuity.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Volumen
$169,680Fecha de finalización
3 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, anchoring the strongest trader consensus around the May 15–22 window. Senate confirmation of successor Kevin Warsh and Powell’s explicit confirmation that he would relinquish the chairmanship while retaining his governor seat through 2028 have clarified the timeline. Recent board actions naming Powell chair pro tempore to bridge the transition period, combined with lingering legal and political pressures on the institution, have reinforced expectations that the formal handover will occur within the next several days. These developments have concentrated probabilities in the immediate weeks ahead while leaving limited room for delays tied to swearing-in logistics or institutional continuity.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$169,680Fecha de finalización
3 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, anchoring the strongest trader consensus around the May 15–22 window. Senate confirmation of successor Kevin Warsh and Powell’s explicit confirmation that he would relinquish the chairmanship while retaining his governor seat through 2028 have clarified the timeline. Recent board actions naming Powell chair pro tempore to bridge the transition period, combined with lingering legal and political pressures on the institution, have reinforced expectations that the formal handover will occur within the next several days. These developments have concentrated probabilities in the immediate weeks ahead while leaving limited room for delays tied to swearing-in logistics or institutional continuity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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