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icon for ¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?

¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?

icon for ¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?

¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?

$439,183 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$439,183 Vol.

Polymarket

Ryan Salame

$29,918 Vol.

25%

Roger Stone

$4,205 Vol.

23%

Stefan Brodie

$2,642 Vol.

23%

Donald Brodie

$1,875 Vol.

21%

Matt Gaetz

$3,877 Vol.

21%

Keonne Rodriguez

$17,520 Vol.

18%

Steve Bannon

$8,024 Vol.

15%

Young Thug

$4,440 Vol.

11%

Daniel Penny

$508 Vol.

11%

Joe Exotic

$5,369 Vol.

9%

Eric Adams

$1,101 Vol.

9%

Bob Menendez

$295 Vol.

8%

Roger Ver

$1,593 Vol.

8%

Andrew Tate

$236 Vol.

8%

Julian Assange

$3,557 Vol.

6%

Nicolás Maduro

$9,491 Vol.

6%

Derek Chauvin

$25,093 Vol.

6%

Martin Shkreli

$29,723 Vol.

6%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$22,824 Vol.

5%

Diddy

$29,806 Vol.

5%

Edward Snowden

$3,163 Vol.

4%

Elizabeth Holmes

$3,571 Vol.

4%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$132,209 Vol.

4%

Él mismo

$13,643 Vol.

3%

Antoine Massey

$2,480 Vol.

3%

Do Kwon

$23,620 Vol.

3%

Hunter Biden

$5,483 Vol.

3%

Elon Musk

$52,917 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s second-term clemency has emphasized political allies, donors, crypto figures, and individuals with access to administration insiders or family networks rather than the traditional DOJ process. Blanket pardons covered roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on inauguration day and 77 people tied to 2020 fake electors in November 2025, while additional grants have gone to figures such as Ross Ulbricht, Changpeng Zhao, Trevor Milton, and various fraud defendants linked to campaign contributions or lobbying by associates like Roger Stone. As of mid-2026, the president has issued more than 1,700 acts of clemency, often bypassing standard guidelines, with discussions of further action around the nation’s semiquincentennial. With the market resolving December 31, 2026, trader focus centers on remaining high-profile names whose connections or timing could trigger additional grants before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$439,183
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s second-term clemency has emphasized political allies, donors, crypto figures, and individuals with access to administration insiders or family networks rather than the traditional DOJ process. Blanket pardons covered roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on inauguration day and 77 people tied to 2020 fake electors in November 2025, while additional grants have gone to figures such as Ross Ulbricht, Changpeng Zhao, Trevor Milton, and various fraud defendants linked to campaign contributions or lobbying by associates like Roger Stone. As of mid-2026, the president has issued more than 1,700 acts of clemency, often bypassing standard guidelines, with discussions of further action around the nation’s semiquincentennial. With the market resolving December 31, 2026, trader focus centers on remaining high-profile names whose connections or timing could trigger additional grants before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$439,183
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 28 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Ryan Salame" con 25%, seguido de "Roger Stone" con 23%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 25¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" ha generado $439.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 18, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?", explora los 28 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" es "Ryan Salame" con 25%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Roger Stone" con 23%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.