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¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?

icon for ¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?

¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?

$218,636 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$218,636 Vol.

Polymarket

Donald Brodie

$0 Vol.

54%

Matt Gaetz

$37 Vol.

53%

Daniel Penny

$11 Vol.

40%

Keonne Rodriguez

$9,371 Vol.

36%

Eric Adams

$106 Vol.

22%

Steve Bannon

$6,771 Vol.

20%

Ryan Salame

$15,206 Vol.

14%

Julian Assange

$1,550 Vol.

17%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$13,573 Vol.

13%

Elizabeth Holmes

$1,130 Vol.

10%

Nicolás Maduro

$6,685 Vol.

10%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$36,621 Vol.

8%

Young Thug

$4,269 Vol.

8%

Do Kwon

$16,325 Vol.

8%

Edward Snowden

$1,755 Vol.

8%

Derek Chauvin

$18,473 Vol.

7%

Diddy

$7,527 Vol.

7%

Joe Exotic

$330 Vol.

7%

Martin Shkreli

$22,458 Vol.

7%

Él mismo

$3,978 Vol.

6%

Antoine Massey

$0 Vol.

7%

Elon Musk

$49,873 Vol.

4%

Hunter Biden

$2,046 Vol.

3%

Roger Ver

$418 Vol.

37%

Roger Stone

$0 Vol.

31%

Bob Menendez

$108 Vol.

33%

Stefan Brodie

$16 Vol.

53%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump has exercised the pardon power extensively in his second term, beginning with blanket clemency for approximately 1,500 January 6 defendants on his first day in office and extending to preemptive pardons for allies such as Rudy Giuliani and Mark Meadows tied to 2020 election matters. Additional grants have targeted white-collar convictions, public corruption cases involving elected officials, and figures like Ross Ulbricht, often bypassing standard Department of Justice review processes. Administration statements emphasize accountability alongside second chances, while reports indicate ongoing discussions of mass pardons for close advisers before the end of the term. These actions, combined with the appointment of a pardon coordinator and the approach of the 2028 election cycle, shape trader focus on which additional individuals may receive clemency by 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$218,636
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump has exercised the pardon power extensively in his second term, beginning with blanket clemency for approximately 1,500 January 6 defendants on his first day in office and extending to preemptive pardons for allies such as Rudy Giuliani and Mark Meadows tied to 2020 election matters. Additional grants have targeted white-collar convictions, public corruption cases involving elected officials, and figures like Ross Ulbricht, often bypassing standard Department of Justice review processes. Administration statements emphasize accountability alongside second chances, while reports indicate ongoing discussions of mass pardons for close advisers before the end of the term. These actions, combined with the appointment of a pardon coordinator and the approach of the 2028 election cycle, shape trader focus on which additional individuals may receive clemency by 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$218,636
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 27 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Donald Brodie" con 55%, seguido de "Matt Gaetz" con 53%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 55¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 55% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" ha generado $218.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 18, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?", explora los 27 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" es "Donald Brodie" con 55%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 55% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Matt Gaetz" con 53%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.