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Política·Venezuela

¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Venezuela antes de...?

icon for ¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Venezuela antes de...?
Política·Venezuela

¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Venezuela antes de...?

$1,242,688 Vol.

31 dic 2025
Polymarket

$1,242,688 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junio de 2026

$477,263 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US military tensions with Venezuela peaked on January 3, 2026, with Operation Absolute Resolve—a rapid Delta Force raid capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife for prosecution in New York, framed by the administration as law enforcement support rather than war, bypassing formal congressional war declaration required by Article I, Section 8 of the Constitution. No declaration has occurred amid debates over legality, with UN concerns on international law but US Office of Legal Counsel affirming domestic compliance. Post-operation, Vice President Delcy Rodríguez assumed acting presidency, prompting OFAC's May 4 general licenses easing oil sanctions, surging Venezuelan exports to the US as its second-largest supplier. Recent State Department statements emphasize diplomacy, with no escalatory signals or scheduled congressional votes on war powers in the next 30 days.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.

The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,242,688
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US military tensions with Venezuela peaked on January 3, 2026, with Operation Absolute Resolve—a rapid Delta Force raid capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife for prosecution in New York, framed by the administration as law enforcement support rather than war, bypassing formal congressional war declaration required by Article I, Section 8 of the Constitution. No declaration has occurred amid debates over legality, with UN concerns on international law but US Office of Legal Counsel affirming domestic compliance. Post-operation, Vice President Delcy Rodríguez assumed acting presidency, prompting OFAC's May 4 general licenses easing oil sanctions, surging Venezuelan exports to the US as its second-largest supplier. Recent State Department statements emphasize diplomacy, with no escalatory signals or scheduled congressional votes on war powers in the next 30 days.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.

The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,242,688
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Venezuela antes de...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de junio de 2026" con 1%, seguido de "31 de diciembre" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 1¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 1% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Venezuela antes de...?" ha generado $1.2 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 15, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Venezuela antes de...?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Venezuela antes de...?" es "30 de junio de 2026" con solo 1%, con "31 de diciembre" muy cerca con 0%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Venezuela antes de...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.