Amid stalled diplomatic efforts, President Trump rejected Iran's latest peace counterproposal as "totally unacceptable" on May 10, sustaining low trader consensus for territorial entries into Iran by June 30 despite the US-Israel war raging since Operation Epic Fury airstrikes began on February 28. US Central Command's naval blockade and allied Gulf strikes have degraded Iranian military capabilities and IRGC coastal defenses without deploying ground forces or boots on the ground, as Pentagon plans prioritize limited operations short of invasion. No serving US House members, Senators, Trump officials like Pete Hegseth or JD Vance, Netanyahu, or Kushner have announced visits, while Reza Pahlavi pursues regime change advocacy externally. Upcoming Strait of Hormuz escalations or renewed clashes could shift dynamics, but persistent hostilities reinforce no-entry positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$388,364 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Cualquier miembro de la Cámara de Representantes de EE. UU.
5%
Algún senador estadounidense
3%
Jared Kushner
2%
Marco Rubio
2%
Pete Hegseth
2%
JD Vance
1%
Benjamín Netanyahu
1%
Donald Trump
1%
$388,364 Vol.
Cualquier miembro de la Cámara de Representantes de EE. UU.
$86,764 Vol.
5%
Algún senador estadounidense
$29,990 Vol.
3%
Jared Kushner
$15,604 Vol.
2%
Marco Rubio
$21,470 Vol.
2%
Pete Hegseth
$92,649 Vol.
2%
JD Vance
$30,931 Vol.
1%
Benjamín Netanyahu
$42,282 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$68,674 Vol.
1%
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid stalled diplomatic efforts, President Trump rejected Iran's latest peace counterproposal as "totally unacceptable" on May 10, sustaining low trader consensus for territorial entries into Iran by June 30 despite the US-Israel war raging since Operation Epic Fury airstrikes began on February 28. US Central Command's naval blockade and allied Gulf strikes have degraded Iranian military capabilities and IRGC coastal defenses without deploying ground forces or boots on the ground, as Pentagon plans prioritize limited operations short of invasion. No serving US House members, Senators, Trump officials like Pete Hegseth or JD Vance, Netanyahu, or Kushner have announced visits, while Reza Pahlavi pursues regime change advocacy externally. Upcoming Strait of Hormuz escalations or renewed clashes could shift dynamics, but persistent hostilities reinforce no-entry positioning.
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Volumen
$388,364Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid stalled diplomatic efforts, President Trump rejected Iran's latest peace counterproposal as "totally unacceptable" on May 10, sustaining low trader consensus for territorial entries into Iran by June 30 despite the US-Israel war raging since Operation Epic Fury airstrikes began on February 28. US Central Command's naval blockade and allied Gulf strikes have degraded Iranian military capabilities and IRGC coastal defenses without deploying ground forces or boots on the ground, as Pentagon plans prioritize limited operations short of invasion. No serving US House members, Senators, Trump officials like Pete Hegseth or JD Vance, Netanyahu, or Kushner have announced visits, while Reza Pahlavi pursues regime change advocacy externally. Upcoming Strait of Hormuz escalations or renewed clashes could shift dynamics, but persistent hostilities reinforce no-entry positioning.
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$388,364Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid stalled diplomatic efforts, President Trump rejected Iran's latest peace counterproposal as "totally unacceptable" on May 10, sustaining low trader consensus for territorial entries into Iran by June 30 despite the US-Israel war raging since Operation Epic Fury airstrikes began on February 28. US Central Command's naval blockade and allied Gulf strikes have degraded Iranian military capabilities and IRGC coastal defenses without deploying ground forces or boots on the ground, as Pentagon plans prioritize limited operations short of invasion. No serving US House members, Senators, Trump officials like Pete Hegseth or JD Vance, Netanyahu, or Kushner have announced visits, while Reza Pahlavi pursues regime change advocacy externally. Upcoming Strait of Hormuz escalations or renewed clashes could shift dynamics, but persistent hostilities reinforce no-entry positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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