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Geopolítica·EE. UU. X Irán

¿Quién asistirá a la ceremonia de firma entre Estados Unidos e Irán?

icon for ¿Quién asistirá a la ceremonia de firma entre Estados Unidos e Irán?
Geopolítica·EE. UU. X Irán

¿Quién asistirá a la ceremonia de firma entre Estados Unidos e Irán?

NUEVO

$158,839 Vol.

7 jul 2026
Polymarket

$158,839 Vol.

Polymarket

Abbas Araghchi

$14,800 Vol.

69%

Jeque Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$5,790 Vol.

48%

Shehbaz Sharif

$6,379 Vol.

68%

Steve Witkoff

$6,462 Vol.

74%

Masoud Pezeshkian

$28,254 Vol.

63%

Rey Abdullah II

$11,787 Vol.

7%

Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah

$508 Vol.

16%

Mohammed bin Salman

$1,789 Vol.

3%

Marco Rubio

$4,230 Vol.

5%

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa

$1,572 Vol.

13%

Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan

$655 Vol.

13%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$1,705 Vol.

1%

Abdel Fattah el-Sisi

$577 Vol.

13%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$8,118 Vol.

1%

Pete Hegseth

$3,609 Vol.

3%

Recep Tayyip Erdogan

$997 Vol.

11%

JD Vance

$13,047 Vol.

85%

Donald Trump

$35,648 Vol.

20%

Jared Kushner

$11,995 Vol.

70%

Elon Musk

$970 Vol.

1%

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The imminent June 19 signing ceremony in Switzerland for the US-Iran memorandum of understanding, following a June 14-15 framework agreement to extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, drives trader focus on attendance. Mediated by Pakistan and Qatar, the event at the Bürgenstock resort or Geneva area remains the primary near-term catalyst. US representation is unresolved, with Vice President JD Vance indicating plans to attend while noting President Trump could join; initial reports of possible remote execution have shifted toward in-person proceedings. Iranian officials and mediators are expected, though exact participants hinge on final diplomatic decisions ahead of the June 19 timeline. This uncertainty, against recent conflict de-escalation, shapes implied probabilities around high-level versus standard diplomatic attendance.

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location.

Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event.

If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$158,839
Fecha de finalización
7 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 16, 2026, 11:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The imminent June 19 signing ceremony in Switzerland for the US-Iran memorandum of understanding, following a June 14-15 framework agreement to extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, drives trader focus on attendance. Mediated by Pakistan and Qatar, the event at the Bürgenstock resort or Geneva area remains the primary near-term catalyst. US representation is unresolved, with Vice President JD Vance indicating plans to attend while noting President Trump could join; initial reports of possible remote execution have shifted toward in-person proceedings. Iranian officials and mediators are expected, though exact participants hinge on final diplomatic decisions ahead of the June 19 timeline. This uncertainty, against recent conflict de-escalation, shapes implied probabilities around high-level versus standard diplomatic attendance.

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location.

Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event.

If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$158,839
Fecha de finalización
7 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 16, 2026, 11:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién asistirá a la ceremonia de firma entre Estados Unidos e Irán?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 20 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "JD Vance" con 85%, seguido de "Steve Witkoff" con 74%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 85¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 85% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién asistirá a la ceremonia de firma entre Estados Unidos e Irán?" ha generado $158.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 16, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién asistirá a la ceremonia de firma entre Estados Unidos e Irán?", explora los 20 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién asistirá a la ceremonia de firma entre Estados Unidos e Irán?" es "JD Vance" con 85%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 85% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Steve Witkoff" con 74%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién asistirá a la ceremonia de firma entre Estados Unidos e Irán?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.