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icon for ¿Trump estrechará la mano de un funcionario iraní antes del 20 de junio?

¿Trump estrechará la mano de un funcionario iraní antes del 20 de junio?

icon for ¿Trump estrechará la mano de un funcionario iraní antes del 20 de junio?

¿Trump estrechará la mano de un funcionario iraní antes del 20 de junio?

5% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

5% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. The resolution source will be photo or video.Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations have produced a virtual memorandum of understanding on a ceasefire framework, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and follow-on nuclear talks, but all contacts have remained remote or conducted through intermediaries such as Omani mediators and U.S. envoys. President Trump is attending the G7 summit in France with no bilateral in-person meetings or signing ceremonies involving Iranian officials scheduled before the June 20 deadline. Diplomatic protocols, security arrangements, and the compressed timeframe reinforce trader expectations that a direct handshake will not occur. A last-minute decision to advance the planned formal signing from Switzerland or an unscheduled side encounter at the G7 could still alter the outcome within the narrow window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.

Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.

Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.

Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.

The resolution source will be photo or video.
Volumen
$1,592
Fecha de finalización
20 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 15, 2026, 7:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. The resolution source will be photo or video.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. The resolution source will be photo or video.Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations have produced a virtual memorandum of understanding on a ceasefire framework, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and follow-on nuclear talks, but all contacts have remained remote or conducted through intermediaries such as Omani mediators and U.S. envoys. President Trump is attending the G7 summit in France with no bilateral in-person meetings or signing ceremonies involving Iranian officials scheduled before the June 20 deadline. Diplomatic protocols, security arrangements, and the compressed timeframe reinforce trader expectations that a direct handshake will not occur. A last-minute decision to advance the planned formal signing from Switzerland or an unscheduled side encounter at the G7 could still alter the outcome within the narrow window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.

Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.

Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.

Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.

The resolution source will be photo or video.
Volumen
$1,592
Fecha de finalización
20 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 15, 2026, 7:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. The resolution source will be photo or video.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump estrechará la mano de un funcionario iraní antes del 20 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Trump estrechará la mano de un funcionario iraní antes del 20 de junio?" con 5%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 5¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 5% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Trump estrechará la mano de un funcionario iraní antes del 20 de junio?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 16, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Trump estrechará la mano de un funcionario iraní antes del 20 de junio?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Trump estrechará la mano de un funcionario iraní antes del 20 de junio?" es "¿Trump estrechará la mano de un funcionario iraní antes del 20 de junio?" con solo 5%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump estrechará la mano de un funcionario iraní antes del 20 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.