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¿Trump abrazará a un funcionario iraní antes del 20 de junio?

icon for ¿Trump abrazará a un funcionario iraní antes del 20 de junio?

¿Trump abrazará a un funcionario iraní antes del 20 de junio?

2% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

2% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump hugs any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. A qualifying partner in a hug with Donald Trump must be a current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran. A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug. Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.**Trader consensus on "No" at 97.9% reflects the formal, virtual nature of recent US-Iran diplomacy amid the 2026 conflict.** A memorandum of understanding for a 60-day ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and further nuclear talks was reached June 14–15, with President Trump and Vice President Vance signing virtually alongside Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. A formal signing is slated for June 19, but proceedings remain mediated (including by Pakistan) and conducted through statements or electronic means rather than in-person encounters. No bilateral meetings or personal gestures have occurred or been scheduled in the narrow window to June 20, consistent with Trump’s G7 commitments in Europe and the structured negotiation process. A sudden in-person summit or ceremonial interaction before the deadline could theoretically shift odds, though current evidence shows no such development.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump hugs any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.

A qualifying partner in a hug with Donald Trump must be a current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.

A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.

Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.

The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Volumen
$2,134
Fecha de finalización
20 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 15, 2026, 8:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump hugs any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. A qualifying partner in a hug with Donald Trump must be a current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran. A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug. Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump hugs any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. A qualifying partner in a hug with Donald Trump must be a current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran. A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug. Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.**Trader consensus on "No" at 97.9% reflects the formal, virtual nature of recent US-Iran diplomacy amid the 2026 conflict.** A memorandum of understanding for a 60-day ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and further nuclear talks was reached June 14–15, with President Trump and Vice President Vance signing virtually alongside Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. A formal signing is slated for June 19, but proceedings remain mediated (including by Pakistan) and conducted through statements or electronic means rather than in-person encounters. No bilateral meetings or personal gestures have occurred or been scheduled in the narrow window to June 20, consistent with Trump’s G7 commitments in Europe and the structured negotiation process. A sudden in-person summit or ceremonial interaction before the deadline could theoretically shift odds, though current evidence shows no such development.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump hugs any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.

A qualifying partner in a hug with Donald Trump must be a current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.

A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.

Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.

The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Volumen
$2,134
Fecha de finalización
20 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 15, 2026, 8:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump hugs any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. A qualifying partner in a hug with Donald Trump must be a current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran. A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug. Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump abrazará a un funcionario iraní antes del 20 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Trump abrazará a un funcionario iraní antes del 20 de junio?" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 2¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 2% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Trump abrazará a un funcionario iraní antes del 20 de junio?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 16, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Trump abrazará a un funcionario iraní antes del 20 de junio?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Trump abrazará a un funcionario iraní antes del 20 de junio?" es "¿Trump abrazará a un funcionario iraní antes del 20 de junio?" con solo 2%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump abrazará a un funcionario iraní antes del 20 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.