**US and Iranian officials reached a framework memorandum of understanding on June 15, 2026, extending a ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and launching 60 days of follow-on talks on Iran’s nuclear program.** The preliminary agreement was virtually signed by President Trump, Vice President Vance, and Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf, with a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland. No full text has been publicly released, though senior U.S. officials have indicated it could be disclosed imminently around the signing or shortly thereafter. Trader consensus heavily favors release by June 30 (near 94% implied probability) and assigns substantial odds to June 19, reflecting the rapid diplomatic momentum, explicit statements that details will surface soon, and the precedent of publicizing such framework documents during the signing process. Key variables that could shift timing include verification of the MoU contents, internal approvals in Tehran or Washington, or decisions to withhold sensitive provisions during the 60-day negotiation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Texto del acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán publicado por...?
¿Texto del acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán publicado por...?
NUEVO
$318,996 Vol.
18 jun 2026
16 de junio
9%
17 de junio
42%
19 de junio
85%
30 de junio
95%
$318,996 Vol.
16 de junio
$161,299 Vol.
9%
17 de junio
$41,107 Vol.
42%
19 de junio
$46,440 Vol.
85%
30 de junio
$70,231 Vol.
95%
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
**US and Iranian officials reached a framework memorandum of understanding on June 15, 2026, extending a ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and launching 60 days of follow-on talks on Iran’s nuclear program.** The preliminary agreement was virtually signed by President Trump, Vice President Vance, and Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf, with a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland. No full text has been publicly released, though senior U.S. officials have indicated it could be disclosed imminently around the signing or shortly thereafter.
Trader consensus heavily favors release by June 30 (near 94% implied probability) and assigns substantial odds to June 19, reflecting the rapid diplomatic momentum, explicit statements that details will surface soon, and the precedent of publicizing such framework documents during the signing process. Key variables that could shift timing include verification of the MoU contents, internal approvals in Tehran or Washington, or decisions to withhold sensitive provisions during the 60-day negotiation window.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jun 15, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Volumen
$318,996Fecha de finalización
1 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 15, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
**US and Iranian officials reached a framework memorandum of understanding on June 15, 2026, extending a ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and launching 60 days of follow-on talks on Iran’s nuclear program.** The preliminary agreement was virtually signed by President Trump, Vice President Vance, and Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf, with a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland. No full text has been publicly released, though senior U.S. officials have indicated it could be disclosed imminently around the signing or shortly thereafter.
Trader consensus heavily favors release by June 30 (near 94% implied probability) and assigns substantial odds to June 19, reflecting the rapid diplomatic momentum, explicit statements that details will surface soon, and the precedent of publicizing such framework documents during the signing process. Key variables that could shift timing include verification of the MoU contents, internal approvals in Tehran or Washington, or decisions to withhold sensitive provisions during the 60-day negotiation window.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$318,996Fecha de finalización
1 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 15, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**US and Iranian officials reached a framework memorandum of understanding on June 15, 2026, extending a ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and launching 60 days of follow-on talks on Iran’s nuclear program.** The preliminary agreement was virtually signed by President Trump, Vice President Vance, and Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf, with a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland. No full text has been publicly released, though senior U.S. officials have indicated it could be disclosed imminently around the signing or shortly thereafter. Trader consensus heavily favors release by June 30 (near 94% implied probability) and assigns substantial odds to June 19, reflecting the rapid diplomatic momentum, explicit statements that details will surface soon, and the precedent of publicizing such framework documents during the signing process. Key variables that could shift timing include verification of the MoU contents, internal approvals in Tehran or Washington, or decisions to withhold sensitive provisions during the 60-day negotiation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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