Kimi Antonelli’s three Grand Prix victories from the opening poles, including a hard-fought Miami win that extended his 20-point lead in the drivers’ standings over teammate George Russell, underpin the current 38% implied probability. The Mercedes duo’s front-row lockouts and consistent points hauls have narrowed the early title race to an intra-team contest, keeping Russell at 30% as the season’s remaining schedule offers ample opportunity for recovery. Lando Norris sits third at 11.6% on the strength of McLaren’s recent pace, while Max Verstappen and Oscar Piastri trail further back amid shifting constructor dynamics and the long haul of remaining rounds still ahead.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKimi Antonelli 38.1%
George Russell 31%
Lando Norris 11.6%
Max Verstappen 6.2%
$150,031,011 Vol.
$150,031,011 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
38%
George Russell
31%
Lando Norris
12%
Max Verstappen
6%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Charles Leclerc
5%
Lewis Hamilton
2%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 38.1%
George Russell 31%
Lando Norris 11.6%
Max Verstappen 6.2%
$150,031,011 Vol.
$150,031,011 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
38%
George Russell
31%
Lando Norris
12%
Max Verstappen
6%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Charles Leclerc
5%
Lewis Hamilton
2%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kimi Antonelli’s three Grand Prix victories from the opening poles, including a hard-fought Miami win that extended his 20-point lead in the drivers’ standings over teammate George Russell, underpin the current 38% implied probability. The Mercedes duo’s front-row lockouts and consistent points hauls have narrowed the early title race to an intra-team contest, keeping Russell at 30% as the season’s remaining schedule offers ample opportunity for recovery. Lando Norris sits third at 11.6% on the strength of McLaren’s recent pace, while Max Verstappen and Oscar Piastri trail further back amid shifting constructor dynamics and the long haul of remaining rounds still ahead.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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