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F1 Drivers' Champion

icon for F1 Drivers' Champion

F1 Drivers' Champion

Kimi Antonelli 38.1%

George Russell 31%

Lando Norris 11.6%

Max Verstappen 6.2%

Polymarket

$150,031,011 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli 38.1%

George Russell 31%

Lando Norris 11.6%

Max Verstappen 6.2%

Polymarket

$150,031,011 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli

$3,045,857 Vol.

38%

George Russell

$1,762,546 Vol.

31%

Lando Norris

$2,160,510 Vol.

12%

Max Verstappen

$2,010,607 Vol.

6%

Oscar Piastri

$1,797,111 Vol.

5%

Charles Leclerc

$2,865,658 Vol.

5%

Lewis Hamilton

$3,812,650 Vol.

2%

Fernando Alonso

$7,053,297 Vol.

<1%

Esteban Ocon

$7,586,546 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hülkenberg

$6,548,362 Vol.

<1%

Arvid Lindblad

$10,009,644 Vol.

<1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$9,023,772 Vol.

<1%

Franco Colapinto

$10,226,316 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Albon

$9,805,986 Vol.

<1%

Valtteri Bottas

$10,310,721 Vol.

<1%

Pierre Gasly

$8,828,228 Vol.

<1%

Liam Lawson

$9,227,991 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$8,731,335 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Pérez

$8,688,141 Vol.

<1%

Isack Hadjar

$6,849,859 Vol.

<1%

Lance Stroll

$9,734,407 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Bearman

$9,951,889 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli’s three Grand Prix victories from the opening poles, including a hard-fought Miami win that extended his 20-point lead in the drivers’ standings over teammate George Russell, underpin the current 38% implied probability. The Mercedes duo’s front-row lockouts and consistent points hauls have narrowed the early title race to an intra-team contest, keeping Russell at 30% as the season’s remaining schedule offers ample opportunity for recovery. Lando Norris sits third at 11.6% on the strength of McLaren’s recent pace, while Max Verstappen and Oscar Piastri trail further back amid shifting constructor dynamics and the long haul of remaining rounds still ahead.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$150,031,011
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli’s three Grand Prix victories from the opening poles, including a hard-fought Miami win that extended his 20-point lead in the drivers’ standings over teammate George Russell, underpin the current 38% implied probability. The Mercedes duo’s front-row lockouts and consistent points hauls have narrowed the early title race to an intra-team contest, keeping Russell at 30% as the season’s remaining schedule offers ample opportunity for recovery. Lando Norris sits third at 11.6% on the strength of McLaren’s recent pace, while Max Verstappen and Oscar Piastri trail further back amid shifting constructor dynamics and the long haul of remaining rounds still ahead.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$150,031,011
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"F1 Drivers' Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 38%, followed by "George Russell" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "F1 Drivers' Champion" has generated $150 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "F1 Drivers' Champion," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "F1 Drivers' Champion" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "George Russell" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "F1 Drivers' Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.