Skip to main content
icon for F1 Drivers' Champion

F1 Drivers' Champion

icon for F1 Drivers' Champion

F1 Drivers' Champion

Kimi Antonelli 38.1%

George Russell 31%

Lando Norris 11.6%

Max Verstappen 6.2%

Polymarket

$150,009,098 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli 38.1%

George Russell 31%

Lando Norris 11.6%

Max Verstappen 6.2%

Polymarket

$150,009,098 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli

$3,045,829 Vol.

38%

George Russell

$1,762,541 Vol.

31%

Lando Norris

$2,160,166 Vol.

12%

Max Verstappen

$2,009,756 Vol.

6%

Oscar Piastri

$1,795,969 Vol.

5%

Charles Leclerc

$2,864,379 Vol.

5%

Lewis Hamilton

$3,811,791 Vol.

2%

Fernando Alonso

$7,052,539 Vol.

<1%

Esteban Ocon

$7,586,206 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hülkenberg

$6,547,367 Vol.

<1%

Arvid Lindblad

$10,008,877 Vol.

<1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$9,022,872 Vol.

<1%

Franco Colapinto

$10,224,992 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Albon

$9,804,523 Vol.

<1%

Valtteri Bottas

$10,308,865 Vol.

<1%

Pierre Gasly

$8,825,656 Vol.

<1%

Liam Lawson

$9,226,587 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$8,730,200 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Pérez

$8,687,339 Vol.

<1%

Isack Hadjar

$6,848,705 Vol.

<1%

Lance Stroll

$9,733,210 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Bearman

$9,951,397 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli’s three consecutive Grand Prix victories and 20-point lead in the early 2026 drivers’ standings have established him as the narrow Polymarket favorite at 38.1 percent, just ahead of Mercedes teammate George Russell at 30.5 percent. The Italian’s recent form, including strong qualifying pace and race-day execution, has shifted momentum within the dominant Mercedes squad after Russell’s Australian Grand Prix win opened the season. The tight contest between the two Mercedes drivers reflects their intra-team battle for points and the team’s overall advantage under the new regulations, while McLaren’s Lando Norris and others trail further back with limited early-season opportunities to close the gap.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$150,009,098
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli’s three consecutive Grand Prix victories and 20-point lead in the early 2026 drivers’ standings have established him as the narrow Polymarket favorite at 38.1 percent, just ahead of Mercedes teammate George Russell at 30.5 percent. The Italian’s recent form, including strong qualifying pace and race-day execution, has shifted momentum within the dominant Mercedes squad after Russell’s Australian Grand Prix win opened the season. The tight contest between the two Mercedes drivers reflects their intra-team battle for points and the team’s overall advantage under the new regulations, while McLaren’s Lando Norris and others trail further back with limited early-season opportunities to close the gap.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$150,009,098
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"F1 Drivers' Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 38%, followed by "George Russell" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "F1 Drivers' Champion" has generated $150 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "F1 Drivers' Champion," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "F1 Drivers' Champion" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "George Russell" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "F1 Drivers' Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.