Scottie Scheffler enters the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club as the clear favorite after his dominant 2025 victory, with recent strong performances on PGA Tour events shaping trader expectations for a repeat top-10 finish. Rory McIlroy, coming off strong major contention and back-to-back title pursuits, benefits from proven course management skills suited to the historic layout last used in 1962. Other contenders like Jon Rahm, Bryson DeChambeau, and Xander Schauffele draw attention due to consistent ball-striking and recent form, while the 156-player field features 29 major champions and key LIV Golf participants. Weather, final-round positioning, and cut-line survival remain pivotal variables that could shift implied probabilities for top-10 outcomes in this stroke-play major.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$149,519 Vol.
Ludvig Aberg
100%
Rory McIlroy
100%
Kurt Kitayama
100%
Chris Gotterup
100%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Kota Yuta Kaneko
<1%
$149,519 Vol.
Ludvig Aberg
100%
Rory McIlroy
100%
Kurt Kitayama
100%
Chris Gotterup
100%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Kota Yuta Kaneko
<1%
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Scottie Scheffler enters the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club as the clear favorite after his dominant 2025 victory, with recent strong performances on PGA Tour events shaping trader expectations for a repeat top-10 finish. Rory McIlroy, coming off strong major contention and back-to-back title pursuits, benefits from proven course management skills suited to the historic layout last used in 1962. Other contenders like Jon Rahm, Bryson DeChambeau, and Xander Schauffele draw attention due to consistent ball-striking and recent form, while the 156-player field features 29 major champions and key LIV Golf participants. Weather, final-round positioning, and cut-line survival remain pivotal variables that could shift implied probabilities for top-10 outcomes in this stroke-play major.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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