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Sports·PGA

2026 U.S. Open: Player to Shoot Best Round

icon for 2026 U.S. Open: Player to Shoot Best Round
Sports·PGA

2026 U.S. Open: Player to Shoot Best Round

Justin Thomas 46%

Maverick McNealy 46%

Justin Rose 46%

Shane Lowry 46%

Polymarket
NEW

Justin Thomas 46%

Maverick McNealy 46%

Justin Rose 46%

Shane Lowry 46%

Polymarket
NEW

Justin Thomas

$14 Vol.

46%

Maverick McNealy

$14 Vol.

46%

Justin Rose

$14 Vol.

46%

Shane Lowry

$14 Vol.

46%

Viktor Hovland

$14 Vol.

45%

Cameron Smith

$14 Vol.

45%

Kristoffer Reitan

$14 Vol.

45%

Patrick Reed

$14 Vol.

45%

Wyndham Clark

$14 Vol.

45%

Jacob Bridgeman

$14 Vol.

45%

Alex Smalley

$14 Vol.

45%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$14 Vol.

44%

Daniel Berger

$14 Vol.

44%

Joaquin Niemann

$14 Vol.

44%

Chris Gotterup

$14 Vol.

44%

Si Woo Kim

$14 Vol.

44%

Alex Noren

$14 Vol.

44%

Jason Day

$14 Vol.

44%

Jordan Spieth

$14 Vol.

44%

Aaron Rai

$14 Vol.

44%

Laurie Canter

$14 Vol.

43%

Harris English

$14 Vol.

43%

Jon Rahm

$14 Vol.

42%

Hideki Matsuyama

$14 Vol.

42%

Nicolai Højgaard

$14 Vol.

42%

Min Woo Lee

$14 Vol.

41%

Rickie Fowler

$14 Vol.

41%

J.J. Spaun

$14 Vol.

39%

Dustin Johnson

$14 Vol.

29%

Scottie Scheffler

$14 Vol.

24%

Tommy Fleetwood

$14 Vol.

24%

Collin Morikawa

$14 Vol.

24%

Ludvig Åberg

$14 Vol.

24%

Ryan Gerard

$14 Vol.

24%

Patrick Cantlay

$14 Vol.

24%

J.T. Poston

$14 Vol.

24%

Rory McIlroy

$14 Vol.

24%

Russell Henley

$14 Vol.

24%

Ben Griffin

$14 Vol.

24%

Robert MacIntyre

$14 Vol.

24%

Akshay Bhatia

$14 Vol.

24%

Kurt Kitayama

$14 Vol.

24%

Bryson DeChambeau

$14 Vol.

24%

Keegan Bradley

$14 Vol.

24%

Lucas Herbert

$14 Vol.

24%

Xander Schauffele

$14 Vol.

23%

Sam Burns

$14 Vol.

23%

David Puig

$14 Vol.

23%

Cameron Young

$14 Vol.

23%

Bud Cauley

$14 Vol.

23%

Adam Scott

$14 Vol.

23%

Michael Kim

$14 Vol.

23%

Carlos Ortiz

$14 Vol.

23%

Gary Woodland

$14 Vol.

23%

Sepp Straka

$14 Vol.

23%

Tyrrell Hatton

$14 Vol.

22%

Jake Knapp

$14 Vol.

22%

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes with the best score in a single full round at the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the final round in which they played. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the player with the best round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills features a notoriously demanding, firm layout that has historically produced few rounds under par and rewards precision over power, creating a wide distribution of outcomes for the tournament's lowest single-round score. With the event opening Thursday and a full field of 156 players set, trader consensus reflects high variance in one-off scoring, as even mid-tier or lesser-known names hold realistic chances to post a standout 65 or better on any given day amid shifting winds, pin placements, and course setup. Top overall title favorites such as Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Jon Rahm sit at lower probabilities precisely because consistent major contention does not guarantee the single hottest round, while a broad cluster of players around 40-50% implied probability underscores the competitive depth and potential for any participant in form to capitalize on favorable conditions or momentum. Recent previews emphasize the course's length and penal rough as equalizers that compress advantages for big names, keeping the best-round market unusually bunched heading into Round 1.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes with the best score in a single full round at the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the final round in which they played. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the player with the best round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Volume
$820
End Date
Jun 21, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes with the best score in a single full round at the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the final round in which they played. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the player with the best round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes with the best score in a single full round at the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the final round in which they played. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the player with the best round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills features a notoriously demanding, firm layout that has historically produced few rounds under par and rewards precision over power, creating a wide distribution of outcomes for the tournament's lowest single-round score. With the event opening Thursday and a full field of 156 players set, trader consensus reflects high variance in one-off scoring, as even mid-tier or lesser-known names hold realistic chances to post a standout 65 or better on any given day amid shifting winds, pin placements, and course setup. Top overall title favorites such as Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Jon Rahm sit at lower probabilities precisely because consistent major contention does not guarantee the single hottest round, while a broad cluster of players around 40-50% implied probability underscores the competitive depth and potential for any participant in form to capitalize on favorable conditions or momentum. Recent previews emphasize the course's length and penal rough as equalizers that compress advantages for big names, keeping the best-round market unusually bunched heading into Round 1.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes with the best score in a single full round at the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the final round in which they played. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the player with the best round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Volume
$820
End Date
Jun 21, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes with the best score in a single full round at the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the final round in which they played. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the player with the best round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 U.S. Open: Player to Shoot Best Round" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 57+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Justin Thomas" at 46%, followed by "Maverick McNealy" at 46%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2026 U.S. Open: Player to Shoot Best Round" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2026 U.S. Open: Player to Shoot Best Round," browse the 57+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 U.S. Open: Player to Shoot Best Round" is "Justin Thomas" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Maverick McNealy" at 46%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 U.S. Open: Player to Shoot Best Round" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.