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Sports·Golf

2026 U.S. Open: Second Round Leader

icon for 2026 U.S. Open: Second Round Leader
Sports·Golf

2026 U.S. Open: Second Round Leader

Michael Kim 94%

Jason Day 87%

Joaquin Niemann 87%

Jordan Spieth 86%

Polymarket
NEW

Michael Kim 94%

Jason Day 87%

Joaquin Niemann 87%

Jordan Spieth 86%

Polymarket
NEW

Michael Kim

$20 Vol.

94%

Jason Day

$20 Vol.

87%

Joaquin Niemann

$20 Vol.

87%

Jordan Spieth

$20 Vol.

86%

Gary Woodland

$20 Vol.

84%

Cameron Smith

$20 Vol.

80%

Shane Lowry

$20 Vol.

72%

Lucas Herbert

$20 Vol.

71%

Adam Scott

$20 Vol.

70%

Jake Knapp

$20 Vol.

69%

Dustin Johnson

$20 Vol.

68%

Carlos Ortiz

$20 Vol.

66%

Daniel Berger

$20 Vol.

64%

Si Woo Kim

$51 Vol.

36%

Xander Schauffele

$51 Vol.

34%

Robert MacIntyre

$51 Vol.

32%

Collin Morikawa

$51 Vol.

32%

Russell Henley

$51 Vol.

32%

Bryson DeChambeau

$51 Vol.

31%

Scottie Scheffler

$51 Vol.

31%

Viktor Hovland

$51 Vol.

31%

Cameron Young

$51 Vol.

30%

Akshay Bhatia

$51 Vol.

30%

Tommy Fleetwood

$51 Vol.

30%

Patrick Cantlay

$51 Vol.

29%

Alex Smalley

$51 Vol.

29%

J.T. Poston

$51 Vol.

29%

Ben Griffin

$51 Vol.

28%

Nicolai Højgaard

$51 Vol.

28%

Chris Gotterup

$51 Vol.

27%

Rory McIlroy

$51 Vol.

26%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$51 Vol.

26%

Sepp Straka

$51 Vol.

26%

Wyndham Clark

$51 Vol.

26%

Ludvig Åberg

$51 Vol.

26%

Kurt Kitayama

$51 Vol.

26%

Harris English

$51 Vol.

25%

J.J. Spaun

$51 Vol.

25%

Alex Noren

$51 Vol.

25%

Jacob Bridgeman

$51 Vol.

25%

Min Woo Lee

$51 Vol.

25%

Bud Cauley

$51 Vol.

25%

Tyrrell Hatton

$51 Vol.

25%

Kristoffer Reitan

$51 Vol.

22%

Aaron Rai

$51 Vol.

19%

Rickie Fowler

$51 Vol.

18%

Sam Burns

$51 Vol.

18%

Ryan Gerard

$51 Vol.

15%

Keegan Bradley

$51 Vol.

12%

Patrick Reed

$51 Vol.

8%

Maverick McNealy

$51 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$51 Vol.

3%

Justin Rose

$51 Vol.

26%

David Puig

$20 Vol.

-

Laurie Canter

$20 Vol.

-

Justin Thomas

$51 Vol.

33%

Jon Rahm

$51 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 2 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills features an exceptionally deep and balanced field heading into the opening rounds, which has produced tightly clustered probabilities for the second-round leader. Strong recent form from players such as Jason Day, Gary Woodland, and Cameron Smith combines with favorable course-history advantages for ball-strikers who excel on firm, fast, penal layouts like Shinnecock, keeping their implied chances near the top of the market. At the same time, in-form contenders including Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Collin Morikawa sit just behind due to their consistent major-championship experience and ability to post low rounds early, while longer-shot options like Patrick Reed and Maverick McNealy retain slim but realistic paths if early scoring conditions allow. With no rounds completed yet and variable weather or pin placements able to shuffle the leaderboard quickly on this historic venue, the market reflects broad trader consensus that multiple golfers remain viable for the 36-hole lead.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 2 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Volume
$2,442
End Date
Jun 21, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 1:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 2 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 2 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills features an exceptionally deep and balanced field heading into the opening rounds, which has produced tightly clustered probabilities for the second-round leader. Strong recent form from players such as Jason Day, Gary Woodland, and Cameron Smith combines with favorable course-history advantages for ball-strikers who excel on firm, fast, penal layouts like Shinnecock, keeping their implied chances near the top of the market. At the same time, in-form contenders including Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Collin Morikawa sit just behind due to their consistent major-championship experience and ability to post low rounds early, while longer-shot options like Patrick Reed and Maverick McNealy retain slim but realistic paths if early scoring conditions allow. With no rounds completed yet and variable weather or pin placements able to shuffle the leaderboard quickly on this historic venue, the market reflects broad trader consensus that multiple golfers remain viable for the 36-hole lead.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 2 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Volume
$2,442
End Date
Jun 21, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 1:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 2 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 U.S. Open: Second Round Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 57+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michael Kim" at 47%, followed by "Jason Day" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2026 U.S. Open: Second Round Leader" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2026 U.S. Open: Second Round Leader," browse the 57+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 U.S. Open: Second Round Leader" is "Michael Kim" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jason Day" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 U.S. Open: Second Round Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.