Anthropic’s recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May 2026, coupled with $47 billion run-rate revenue and confidential S-1 filing on June 1, anchors trader expectations for an autumn 2026 IPO. Explosive ARR growth—third-party trackers now estimating high-$60 billion levels—supports implied multiples around 10x forward revenue in median scenarios, yet public-market discipline appears after SpaceX’s post-listing repricing to roughly $1.4 trillion. The evenly distributed outcomes between $1.5 trillion and $2.5 trillion reflect uncertainty over final pricing, lock-up dynamics, secondary sales, and how enterprise adoption of Claude compares with OpenAI amid regulatory and infrastructure spending scrutiny.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1.5–$1.75T 16.7%
$1.75–$2.0T 17%
$2.0–$2.25T 16.3%
$2.25–$2.5T 16%
$324,815 Vol.
$324,815 Vol.
<$1.25T
3%
$1.25–$1.5T
11%
$1.5–$1.75T
17%
$1.75–$2.0T
17%
$2.0–$2.25T
16%
$2.25–$2.5T
16%
$2.5–$2.75T
12%
$2.75–$3.0T
6%
$3.0T+
8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
2%
$1.5–$1.75T 16.7%
$1.75–$2.0T 17%
$2.0–$2.25T 16.3%
$2.25–$2.5T 16%
$324,815 Vol.
$324,815 Vol.
<$1.25T
3%
$1.25–$1.5T
11%
$1.5–$1.75T
17%
$1.75–$2.0T
17%
$2.0–$2.25T
16%
$2.25–$2.5T
16%
$2.5–$2.75T
12%
$2.75–$3.0T
6%
$3.0T+
8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
2%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May 2026, coupled with $47 billion run-rate revenue and confidential S-1 filing on June 1, anchors trader expectations for an autumn 2026 IPO. Explosive ARR growth—third-party trackers now estimating high-$60 billion levels—supports implied multiples around 10x forward revenue in median scenarios, yet public-market discipline appears after SpaceX’s post-listing repricing to roughly $1.4 trillion. The evenly distributed outcomes between $1.5 trillion and $2.5 trillion reflect uncertainty over final pricing, lock-up dynamics, secondary sales, and how enterprise adoption of Claude compares with OpenAI amid regulatory and infrastructure spending scrutiny.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions