Anthropic's IPO market cap odds cluster around $2 trillion, reflecting rapid revenue scaling from a $47 billion annualized run rate in May 2026 to $65 billion by July and projections exceeding $100 billion by year-end, alongside a May Series H valuation of $965 billion. Traders price in an 80-90% premium at debut, consistent with banker indications of a roughly $2 trillion target and up to $100 billion raise in a November listing window following the confidential S-1 filing. Key swing factors include third-quarter results, potential Nvidia anchor participation, competitive AI model performance versus OpenAI, and broader market appetite for high-multiple tech listings amid elevated Treasury yields. The tight spread between $2.0–2.5 trillion outcomes underscores uncertainty over post-IPO trading multiples and execution timing before year-end 2027 resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.0–$2.25T 23.7%
$2.25–$2.5T 21%
$1.75–$2.0T 17%
$2.5–$2.75T 13.9%
$889,419 Vol.
$889,419 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<$1.25T
4%
$1.25–$1.5T
2%
$1.5–$1.75T
7%
$1.75–$2.0T
17%
$2.0–$2.25T
24%
$2.25–$2.5T
21%
$2.5–$2.75T
14%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
6%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
6%
$2.0–$2.25T 23.7%
$2.25–$2.5T 21%
$1.75–$2.0T 17%
$2.5–$2.75T 13.9%
$889,419 Vol.
$889,419 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<$1.25T
$108,460 Vol.
4%
$1.25–$1.5T
$86,522 Vol.
2%
$1.5–$1.75T
$118,922 Vol.
7%
$1.75–$2.0T
$110,199 Vol.
17%
$2.0–$2.25T
$130,363 Vol.
24%
$2.25–$2.5T
$94,289 Vol.
21%
$2.5–$2.75T
$74,740 Vol.
14%
$2.75–$3.0T
$41,168 Vol.
5%
$3.0T+
$66,444 Vol.
6%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$58,312 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's IPO market cap odds cluster around $2 trillion, reflecting rapid revenue scaling from a $47 billion annualized run rate in May 2026 to $65 billion by July and projections exceeding $100 billion by year-end, alongside a May Series H valuation of $965 billion. Traders price in an 80-90% premium at debut, consistent with banker indications of a roughly $2 trillion target and up to $100 billion raise in a November listing window following the confidential S-1 filing. Key swing factors include third-quarter results, potential Nvidia anchor participation, competitive AI model performance versus OpenAI, and broader market appetite for high-multiple tech listings amid elevated Treasury yields. The tight spread between $2.0–2.5 trillion outcomes underscores uncertainty over post-IPO trading multiples and execution timing before year-end 2027 resolution.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$889,419End Date
Jan 1, 2028Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's IPO market cap odds cluster around $2 trillion, reflecting rapid revenue scaling from a $47 billion annualized run rate in May 2026 to $65 billion by July and projections exceeding $100 billion by year-end, alongside a May Series H valuation of $965 billion. Traders price in an 80-90% premium at debut, consistent with banker indications of a roughly $2 trillion target and up to $100 billion raise in a November listing window following the confidential S-1 filing. Key swing factors include third-quarter results, potential Nvidia anchor participation, competitive AI model performance versus OpenAI, and broader market appetite for high-multiple tech listings amid elevated Treasury yields. The tight spread between $2.0–2.5 trillion outcomes underscores uncertainty over post-IPO trading multiples and execution timing before year-end 2027 resolution.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$889,419End Date
Jan 1, 2028Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's IPO market cap odds cluster around $2 trillion, reflecting rapid revenue scaling from a $47 billion annualized run rate in May 2026 to $65 billion by July and projections exceeding $100 billion by year-end, alongside a May Series H valuation of $965 billion. Traders price in an 80-90% premium at debut, consistent with banker indications of a roughly $2 trillion target and up to $100 billion raise in a November listing window following the confidential S-1 filing. Key swing factors include third-quarter results, potential Nvidia anchor participation, competitive AI model performance versus OpenAI, and broader market appetite for high-multiple tech listings amid elevated Treasury yields. The tight spread between $2.0–2.5 trillion outcomes underscores uncertainty over post-IPO trading multiples and execution timing before year-end 2027 resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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