Multiple high-profile tracks from Ella Langley, Taylor Swift, Olivia Rodrigo, Drake, and Ariana Grande sit in an unusually tight race for the Billboard Hot 100’s second spot on the July 18 chart, with market-implied odds reflecting near parity among the frontrunners. Recent tracking data shows Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You” holding steady at #2 while Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” and “Be Her” continue their long runs at the summit and #3, supported by robust streaming and country radio traction. Olivia Rodrigo’s dual entries (“Drop Dead,” “Stupid Song”) and Drake’s “Janice STFU” post incremental gains or losses tied to airplay and sales velocity, creating narrow margins that any late-week streaming surge or promotional push could flip. Traders are monitoring the final days of the tracking period for decisive shifts in platform metrics and radio adds, as historical patterns favor established hits but allow rapid repositioning when multiple releases compete simultaneously.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBillboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of July 18
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift 97.7%
Janice STFU - Drake 3.3%
Be Her - Ella Langley <1%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley <1%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
98%
Janice STFU - Drake
3%
Be Her - Ella Langley
1%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
<1%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
<1%
The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo
<1%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
<1%
Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo
<1%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift 97.7%
Janice STFU - Drake 3.3%
Be Her - Ella Langley <1%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley <1%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
98%
Janice STFU - Drake
3%
Be Her - Ella Langley
1%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
<1%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
<1%
The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo
<1%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
<1%
Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of July 18, 2026”. The named songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 9:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of July 18, 2026”. The named songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Multiple high-profile tracks from Ella Langley, Taylor Swift, Olivia Rodrigo, Drake, and Ariana Grande sit in an unusually tight race for the Billboard Hot 100’s second spot on the July 18 chart, with market-implied odds reflecting near parity among the frontrunners. Recent tracking data shows Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You” holding steady at #2 while Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” and “Be Her” continue their long runs at the summit and #3, supported by robust streaming and country radio traction. Olivia Rodrigo’s dual entries (“Drop Dead,” “Stupid Song”) and Drake’s “Janice STFU” post incremental gains or losses tied to airplay and sales velocity, creating narrow margins that any late-week streaming surge or promotional push could flip. Traders are monitoring the final days of the tracking period for decisive shifts in platform metrics and radio adds, as historical patterns favor established hits but allow rapid repositioning when multiple releases compete simultaneously.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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