Augsburg's unbeaten streak across their last six Bundesliga matches, including a shock 2-1 victory at Bayer Leverkusen and 3-1 wins over Gladbach and Bremen, has propelled trader consensus to a 39.5% implied probability for an away win at Union Berlin's Stadion An der Alten Försterei, narrowly ahead of the hosts at 35.5% despite Union's home advantage. Union languish in 12th place with 36 points from 33 games, mired in a five-match winless run (one draw, four losses) and defensive woes conceding 58 goals, while ninth-placed Augsburg (43 points) boast better balance with 45 goals scored. Both sides grapple with absences—Union without goalkeeper Frederik Rønnow (thigh) and suspended Derrick Köhn, Augsburg missing suspended Kristijan Jakic and injured Dimitrios Giannoulis—compounded by a head-to-head history of tight, low-scoring encounters (three draws in last six, recent 1-1 stalemate).
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Augsburg's unbeaten streak across their last six Bundesliga matches, including a shock 2-1 victory at Bayer Leverkusen and 3-1 wins over Gladbach and Bremen, has propelled trader consensus to a 39.5% implied probability for an away win at Union Berlin's Stadion An der Alten Försterei, narrowly ahead of the hosts at 35.5% despite Union's home advantage. Union languish in 12th place with 36 points from 33 games, mired in a five-match winless run (one draw, four losses) and defensive woes conceding 58 goals, while ninth-placed Augsburg (43 points) boast better balance with 45 goals scored. Both sides grapple with absences—Union without goalkeeper Frederik Rønnow (thigh) and suspended Derrick Köhn, Augsburg missing suspended Kristijan Jakic and injured Dimitrios Giannoulis—compounded by a head-to-head history of tight, low-scoring encounters (three draws in last six, recent 1-1 stalemate).
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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