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icon for Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga

Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga

icon for Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga

Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga

$64,038 Vol.

May 25, 2026
Polymarket

$64,038 Vol.

Polymarket

SV Elversberg

$3,962 Vol.

87%

Hannover 96

$17,097 Vol.

27%

SC Paderborn

$13,417 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. If the 2025-26 Bundesliga 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SV Elversberg, Hannover 96 and SC Paderborn enter the final matchday of the 2025/26 2. Bundesliga season level on points and battling for the second automatic promotion spot alongside already-crowned champions Schalke 04. Elversberg hold a decisive goal-difference advantage that could secure direct elevation to the Bundesliga for the first time if results align, while Hannover and Paderborn need favorable outcomes in their respective fixtures against Bochum and Karlsruhe to stay in contention. A loss for any of the trio would likely drop them into the promotion play-off, where historical patterns show mixed success for second-division sides facing Bundesliga opposition. Recent form and home/away splits across the closing fixtures remain the decisive variables.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2.

If the 2025-26 Bundesliga 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$64,038
End Date
May 25, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. If the 2025-26 Bundesliga 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. If the 2025-26 Bundesliga 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SV Elversberg, Hannover 96 and SC Paderborn enter the final matchday of the 2025/26 2. Bundesliga season level on points and battling for the second automatic promotion spot alongside already-crowned champions Schalke 04. Elversberg hold a decisive goal-difference advantage that could secure direct elevation to the Bundesliga for the first time if results align, while Hannover and Paderborn need favorable outcomes in their respective fixtures against Bochum and Karlsruhe to stay in contention. A loss for any of the trio would likely drop them into the promotion play-off, where historical patterns show mixed success for second-division sides facing Bundesliga opposition. Recent form and home/away splits across the closing fixtures remain the decisive variables.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2.

If the 2025-26 Bundesliga 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$64,038
End Date
May 25, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. If the 2025-26 Bundesliga 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Schalke 04" at 100%, followed by "SV Elversberg" at 87%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga" has generated $64K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga" is "Schalke 04" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "SV Elversberg" at 87%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.