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icon for Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga

Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga

icon for Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga

Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga

$70,450 Vol.

May 25, 2026
Polymarket

$70,450 Vol.

Polymarket

SC Paderborn

$14,313 Vol.

27%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. If the 2025-26 Bundesliga 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As the 2025/26 2. Bundesliga season reaches its decisive Matchday 34 on 17 May, Schalke 04 has already secured automatic promotion as league leaders with 70 points from 34 matches. Elversberg sits second on 62 points and needs only a positive result to clinch the second direct promotion spot, while Hannover 96 and Paderborn remain locked in a three-way fight for the final automatic berth and the subsequent promotion/relegation play-offs against a Bundesliga side. Recent form, goal difference, and head-to-head results will determine final positioning among the tightly grouped contenders, with home advantage and squad depth playing key roles in the closing fixtures.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2.

If the 2025-26 Bundesliga 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$70,450
End Date
May 25, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. If the 2025-26 Bundesliga 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. If the 2025-26 Bundesliga 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As the 2025/26 2. Bundesliga season reaches its decisive Matchday 34 on 17 May, Schalke 04 has already secured automatic promotion as league leaders with 70 points from 34 matches. Elversberg sits second on 62 points and needs only a positive result to clinch the second direct promotion spot, while Hannover 96 and Paderborn remain locked in a three-way fight for the final automatic berth and the subsequent promotion/relegation play-offs against a Bundesliga side. Recent form, goal difference, and head-to-head results will determine final positioning among the tightly grouped contenders, with home advantage and squad depth playing key roles in the closing fixtures.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2.

If the 2025-26 Bundesliga 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$70,450
End Date
May 25, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. If the 2025-26 Bundesliga 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "SV Elversberg" at 100%, followed by "Schalke 04" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga" has generated $70.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga" is "SV Elversberg" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Schalke 04" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.