Southampton enter the Championship play-off final as slight favorites due to their strong late-season form, including an extra-time semi-final victory over Middlesbrough that extended an unbeaten run. Traders appear to price in the Saints’ greater experience at this level and ability to retain key Premier League-caliber players following last season’s relegation. Hull City, meanwhile, secured promotion hopes with a semi-final upset of Millwall but sit lower in the table with several notable absences, including muscle and ligament issues for key midfielders and defenders. The neutral Wembley venue reduces home advantage, yet the 27.5% draw probability underscores the tightly contested nature of a one-off match where recent momentum and squad rotation decisions could prove decisive.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Hull City AFC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Market Opened: May 16, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.efl.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Hull City AFC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Market Opened: May 16, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.efl.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Southampton enter the Championship play-off final as slight favorites due to their strong late-season form, including an extra-time semi-final victory over Middlesbrough that extended an unbeaten run. Traders appear to price in the Saints’ greater experience at this level and ability to retain key Premier League-caliber players following last season’s relegation. Hull City, meanwhile, secured promotion hopes with a semi-final upset of Millwall but sit lower in the table with several notable absences, including muscle and ligament issues for key midfielders and defenders. The neutral Wembley venue reduces home advantage, yet the 27.5% draw probability underscores the tightly contested nature of a one-off match where recent momentum and squad rotation decisions could prove decisive.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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