Elon Musk's net worth surged past $1.1 trillion following SpaceX's June 12 Nasdaq debut, which valued the company above $2 trillion and established a liquid market price for his substantial stake. This event, combined with Tesla shares trading near $406 as of June 12 amid ongoing volatility, anchors the overwhelming 98.7% market-implied probability of an $800 billion-plus reading on June 30. Trader consensus reflects these verified equity valuations and limited near-term downside risk over the next two weeks, though a sharp reversal in TSLA or SPCX prices—driven by macroeconomic data, sector rotation, or company-specific news—remains the primary scenario that could compress the figure below the threshold before month-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElon Musk Net Worth on June 30?
800b+ 98.8%
740-760b <1%
780-800b <1%
660-680b <1%
$49,390 Vol.
$49,390 Vol.
<660b
<1%
660-680b
<1%
680-700b
<1%
700-720b
<1%
720-740b
<1%
740-760b
1%
760-780b
<1%
780-800b
1%
800b+
99%
800b+ 98.8%
740-760b <1%
780-800b <1%
660-680b <1%
$49,390 Vol.
$49,390 Vol.
<660b
<1%
660-680b
<1%
680-700b
<1%
700-720b
<1%
720-740b
<1%
740-760b
1%
760-780b
<1%
780-800b
1%
800b+
99%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Mercato aperto: May 26, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's net worth surged past $1.1 trillion following SpaceX's June 12 Nasdaq debut, which valued the company above $2 trillion and established a liquid market price for his substantial stake. This event, combined with Tesla shares trading near $406 as of June 12 amid ongoing volatility, anchors the overwhelming 98.7% market-implied probability of an $800 billion-plus reading on June 30. Trader consensus reflects these verified equity valuations and limited near-term downside risk over the next two weeks, though a sharp reversal in TSLA or SPCX prices—driven by macroeconomic data, sector rotation, or company-specific news—remains the primary scenario that could compress the figure below the threshold before month-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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