Arsenal’s two-point lead atop the Premier League table with two matches remaining has driven the 82.5% implied probability assigned to the Gunners lifting the title. Mikel Arteta’s side controls its destiny and faces Burnley and Crystal Palace, both sides already relegated, allowing a straightforward path to 85 points if results hold. Manchester City sits second with three fixtures left and must win all of them while hoping for Arsenal slips, though recent form shows Pep Guardiola’s team still capable of late surges. Head-to-head results this season favor City, yet the points gap and schedule strength currently outweigh that edge in trader consensus. Any injury setbacks or unexpected drops in form could reopen the race before the May 24 finale.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$321,744,055 Vol.
$321,744,055 Vol.
Arsenal
83%
Man City
18%
$321,744,055 Vol.
$321,744,055 Vol.
Arsenal
83%
Man City
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 23, 2025, 8:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Arsenal’s two-point lead atop the Premier League table with two matches remaining has driven the 82.5% implied probability assigned to the Gunners lifting the title. Mikel Arteta’s side controls its destiny and faces Burnley and Crystal Palace, both sides already relegated, allowing a straightforward path to 85 points if results hold. Manchester City sits second with three fixtures left and must win all of them while hoping for Arsenal slips, though recent form shows Pep Guardiola’s team still capable of late surges. Head-to-head results this season favor City, yet the points gap and schedule strength currently outweigh that edge in trader consensus. Any injury setbacks or unexpected drops in form could reopen the race before the May 24 finale.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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