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icon for Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final

icon for Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final

$1,069,838 Vol.

May 14, 2026
Polymarket

$1,069,838 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Australia

Australia

$120,152 Vol.

Yes

icon for Luxembourg

Luxembourg

$65,414 Vol.

No

icon for Malta

Malta

$35,835 Vol.

Yes

icon for Romania

Romania

$28,172 Vol.

Yes

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$44,648 Vol.

Yes

icon for Albania

Albania

$72,703 Vol.

Yes

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$150,833 Vol.

Yes

icon for Czechia

Czechia

$104,027 Vol.

Yes

icon for Latvia

Latvia

$32,362 Vol.

No

icon for Armenia

Armenia

$67,532 Vol.

No

icon for Cyprus

Cyprus

$104,985 Vol.

Yes

icon for Switzerland

Switzerland

$102,763 Vol.

No

icon for Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

$24,754 Vol.

No

icon for Denmark

Denmark

$66,715 Vol.

Yes

icon for Norway

Norway

$48,942 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The second semi-final of Eurovision Song Contest 2026 unfolds tonight at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, where 15 acts vie for the last 10 grand final spots alongside first semi qualifiers like Finland, Croatia, and Israel. Dress rehearsals yesterday showcased frontrunner momentum for Ukraine's LELÉKA with the heartfelt "Ridnym," Australia's Delta Goodrem delivering powerhouse "Eclipse," and Romania's provocative "Choke Me" by Alexandra Căpitănescu, amplified by strong staging and diaspora televote potential. Bulgaria's opener DARA "Bangaranga" and Czechia's Daniel Zizka "CROSSROADS" impressed juries, per recap buzz, while Nordic entries Denmark and Norway face tight competition. Polymarket's trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game bets on rehearsal standouts and historical qualification patterns, with results from combined jury and public votes revealed post-21:00 CEST show, ahead of Saturday's final.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$1,069,838
End Date
May 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The second semi-final of Eurovision Song Contest 2026 unfolds tonight at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, where 15 acts vie for the last 10 grand final spots alongside first semi qualifiers like Finland, Croatia, and Israel. Dress rehearsals yesterday showcased frontrunner momentum for Ukraine's LELÉKA with the heartfelt "Ridnym," Australia's Delta Goodrem delivering powerhouse "Eclipse," and Romania's provocative "Choke Me" by Alexandra Căpitănescu, amplified by strong staging and diaspora televote potential. Bulgaria's opener DARA "Bangaranga" and Czechia's Daniel Zizka "CROSSROADS" impressed juries, per recap buzz, while Nordic entries Denmark and Norway face tight competition. Polymarket's trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game bets on rehearsal standouts and historical qualification patterns, with results from combined jury and public votes revealed post-21:00 CEST show, ahead of Saturday's final.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$1,069,838
End Date
May 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Australia" at 100%, followed by "Malta" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final" is "Australia" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Malta" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.