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Eurovision Winner 2026

icon for Eurovision Winner 2026

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 50.2%

Australia 24.9%

Romania 5.9%

Greece 5.5%

Polymarket

$172,403,157 Vol.

Finland 50.2%

Australia 24.9%

Romania 5.9%

Greece 5.5%

Polymarket

$172,403,157 Vol.

icon for Finland

Finland

$5,168,661 Vol.

50%

icon for Australia

Australia

$3,510,520 Vol.

25%

icon for Romania

Romania

$3,371,004 Vol.

6%

icon for Greece

Greece

$4,240,290 Vol.

5%

icon for Israel

Israel

$3,379,508 Vol.

4%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$4,050,430 Vol.

4%

icon for Denmark

Denmark

$2,862,588 Vol.

2%

icon for Italy

Italy

$4,185,270 Vol.

1%

icon for France

France

$3,614,165 Vol.

1%

icon for Sweden

Sweden

$2,493,222 Vol.

1%

icon for Croatia

Croatia

$5,135,521 Vol.

1%

icon for Moldova

Moldova

$4,497,009 Vol.

1%

icon for Czechia

Czechia

$2,567,775 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$3,188,021 Vol.

<1%

icon for Albania

Albania

$7,217,737 Vol.

<1%

icon for Malta

Malta

$3,542,299 Vol.

<1%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$6,156,605 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cyprus

Cyprus

$3,614,844 Vol.

<1%

icon for Poland

Poland

$7,454,872 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austria

Austria

$7,558,837 Vol.

<1%

icon for Belgium

Belgium

$5,130,411 Vol.

<1%

icon for Germany

Germany

$4,103,520 Vol.

<1%

icon for Norway

Norway

$5,324,900 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lithuania

Lithuania

$5,716,202 Vol.

<1%

icon for United Kingdom

United Kingdom

$4,205,263 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland holds a commanding 50% implied probability as the frontrunner for Eurovision 2026, driven by the high-energy Nordic duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen’s track “Liekinheitin,” which has topped bookmakers’ lists since its release and sustained momentum through strong semi-final qualification in Vienna. Australia’s Delta Goodrem has climbed to second at 25% after a polished semi-final performance of “Eclipse” elevated her from mid-tier odds, reflecting trader confidence in her established star power and broad voter appeal. Romania, Greece, Israel, and Bulgaria follow at single-digit levels, buoyed by consistent rehearsal buzz and cultural voting blocs, while the grand final on May 16 will hinge on live staging, jury preferences, and televote surges in a tightly contested field where recent semi-final results have already reshaped the hierarchy.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$172,403,157
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland holds a commanding 50% implied probability as the frontrunner for Eurovision 2026, driven by the high-energy Nordic duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen’s track “Liekinheitin,” which has topped bookmakers’ lists since its release and sustained momentum through strong semi-final qualification in Vienna. Australia’s Delta Goodrem has climbed to second at 25% after a polished semi-final performance of “Eclipse” elevated her from mid-tier odds, reflecting trader confidence in her established star power and broad voter appeal. Romania, Greece, Israel, and Bulgaria follow at single-digit levels, buoyed by consistent rehearsal buzz and cultural voting blocs, while the grand final on May 16 will hinge on live staging, jury preferences, and televote surges in a tightly contested field where recent semi-final results have already reshaped the hierarchy.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$172,403,157
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 50%, followed by "Australia" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $172.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Australia" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.