Finland leads the Eurovision 2026 winner market at 48% implied probability thanks to its frontrunner entry “Liekinheitin” by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, which has topped bookmakers and prediction platforms for months with strong staging, catchy hooks, and proven televote appeal. Australia sits at 23.9% after Delta Goodrem’s “Eclipse” delivered a standout second semi-final performance and audience poll wins that boosted its momentum. Bulgaria, Romania, Greece, and Israel trail in the 5–8% range following positive rehearsal feedback and rising live buzz, though Finland’s consistent campaign and historical voting patterns keep it well ahead heading into the Grand Final.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEurovision Winner 2026
Eurovision Winner 2026
Finland 48.0%
Australia 23.9%
Bulgaria 8.0%
Greece 5.7%
$175,280,541 Vol.
$175,280,541 Vol.
May 16, 2026
Finland
48%
Australia
24%
Bulgaria
8%
Greece
6%
Israel
6%
Romania
5%
Denmark
2%
Italy
1%
France
1%
Sweden
1%
Ukraine
1%
Czechia
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Malta
<1%
Croatia
<1%
Albania
<1%
Cyprus
<1%
Norway
<1%
Poland
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Austria
<1%
Belgium
<1%
Germany
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
United Kingdom
<1%
Finland 48.0%
Australia 23.9%
Bulgaria 8.0%
Greece 5.7%
$175,280,541 Vol.
$175,280,541 Vol.
May 16, 2026
Finland
$5,278,378 Vol.
48%
Australia
$3,649,992 Vol.
24%
Bulgaria
$4,589,457 Vol.
8%
Greece
$4,366,944 Vol.
6%
Israel
$3,518,599 Vol.
6%
Romania
$3,506,914 Vol.
5%
Denmark
$2,924,092 Vol.
2%
Italy
$4,291,232 Vol.
1%
France
$3,708,828 Vol.
1%
Sweden
$2,587,658 Vol.
1%
Ukraine
$3,316,329 Vol.
1%
Czechia
$2,651,198 Vol.
<1%
Moldova
$4,606,327 Vol.
<1%
Malta
$3,733,904 Vol.
<1%
Croatia
$5,225,352 Vol.
<1%
Albania
$7,306,590 Vol.
<1%
Cyprus
$3,724,960 Vol.
<1%
Norway
$5,452,642 Vol.
<1%
Poland
$7,545,686 Vol.
<1%
Serbia
$6,235,481 Vol.
<1%
Austria
$7,572,899 Vol.
<1%
Belgium
$5,150,531 Vol.
<1%
Germany
$4,135,840 Vol.
<1%
Lithuania
$5,796,966 Vol.
<1%
United Kingdom
$4,293,609 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland leads the Eurovision 2026 winner market at 48% implied probability thanks to its frontrunner entry “Liekinheitin” by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, which has topped bookmakers and prediction platforms for months with strong staging, catchy hooks, and proven televote appeal. Australia sits at 23.9% after Delta Goodrem’s “Eclipse” delivered a standout second semi-final performance and audience poll wins that boosted its momentum. Bulgaria, Romania, Greece, and Israel trail in the 5–8% range following positive rehearsal feedback and rising live buzz, though Finland’s consistent campaign and historical voting patterns keep it well ahead heading into the Grand Final.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volume
$175,280,541End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland leads the Eurovision 2026 winner market at 48% implied probability thanks to its frontrunner entry “Liekinheitin” by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, which has topped bookmakers and prediction platforms for months with strong staging, catchy hooks, and proven televote appeal. Australia sits at 23.9% after Delta Goodrem’s “Eclipse” delivered a standout second semi-final performance and audience poll wins that boosted its momentum. Bulgaria, Romania, Greece, and Israel trail in the 5–8% range following positive rehearsal feedback and rising live buzz, though Finland’s consistent campaign and historical voting patterns keep it well ahead heading into the Grand Final.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$175,280,541End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland leads the Eurovision 2026 winner market at 48% implied probability thanks to its frontrunner entry “Liekinheitin” by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, which has topped bookmakers and prediction platforms for months with strong staging, catchy hooks, and proven televote appeal. Australia sits at 23.9% after Delta Goodrem’s “Eclipse” delivered a standout second semi-final performance and audience poll wins that boosted its momentum. Bulgaria, Romania, Greece, and Israel trail in the 5–8% range following positive rehearsal feedback and rising live buzz, though Finland’s consistent campaign and historical voting patterns keep it well ahead heading into the Grand Final.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions