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Eurovision Winner 2026

icon for Eurovision Winner 2026

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 43.5%

Australia 26.2%

Bulgaria 8.4%

Israel 5.8%

Polymarket

$176,171,011 Vol.

Finland 43.5%

Australia 26.2%

Bulgaria 8.4%

Israel 5.8%

Polymarket

$176,171,011 Vol.

icon for Finland

Finland

$5,309,430 Vol.

43%

icon for Australia

Australia

$3,701,433 Vol.

26%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$4,657,339 Vol.

8%

icon for Israel

Israel

$3,564,833 Vol.

6%

icon for Greece

Greece

$4,403,928 Vol.

6%

icon for Romania

Romania

$3,543,074 Vol.

5%

icon for Denmark

Denmark

$2,953,309 Vol.

2%

icon for Italy

Italy

$4,332,135 Vol.

1%

icon for France

France

$3,764,100 Vol.

1%

icon for Czechia

Czechia

$2,688,644 Vol.

1%

icon for Sweden

Sweden

$2,617,852 Vol.

1%

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$3,362,382 Vol.

1%

icon for Croatia

Croatia

$5,309,523 Vol.

1%

icon for Moldova

Moldova

$4,658,141 Vol.

<1%

icon for Albania

Albania

$7,349,924 Vol.

<1%

icon for Malta

Malta

$3,756,810 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cyprus

Cyprus

$3,748,026 Vol.

<1%

icon for Norway

Norway

$5,483,564 Vol.

<1%

icon for Poland

Poland

$7,564,863 Vol.

<1%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$6,276,110 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austria

Austria

$7,580,899 Vol.

<1%

icon for Belgium

Belgium

$5,167,535 Vol.

<1%

icon for Germany

Germany

$4,166,840 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lithuania

Lithuania

$5,825,101 Vol.

<1%

icon for United Kingdom

United Kingdom

$4,301,380 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland’s commanding lead in the Eurovision 2026 winner market stems from the high-energy “Liekinheitin” performed by violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen, a track that has topped bookmakers and prediction markets for months while delivering standout semi-final and rehearsal showings. Australia has climbed to second place on the back of Delta Goodrem’s polished “Eclipse,” which gained significant momentum after its strong semi-final 2 qualification. Bulgaria’s Dara and her upbeat “Bangaranga” have also surged following recent rehearsals, while Greece, Israel, Romania and Denmark round out the top tier on the strength of consistent audience and jury appeal. With the grand final set for Saturday in Vienna, late rehearsal adjustments and national jury decisions remain the key swing factors that could still alter the final outcome.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$176,171,011
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland’s commanding lead in the Eurovision 2026 winner market stems from the high-energy “Liekinheitin” performed by violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen, a track that has topped bookmakers and prediction markets for months while delivering standout semi-final and rehearsal showings. Australia has climbed to second place on the back of Delta Goodrem’s polished “Eclipse,” which gained significant momentum after its strong semi-final 2 qualification. Bulgaria’s Dara and her upbeat “Bangaranga” have also surged following recent rehearsals, while Greece, Israel, Romania and Denmark round out the top tier on the strength of consistent audience and jury appeal. With the grand final set for Saturday in Vienna, late rehearsal adjustments and national jury decisions remain the key swing factors that could still alter the final outcome.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$176,171,011
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 43%, followed by "Australia" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $176.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Australia" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.