Skip to main content
icon for Eurovision Winner 2026

Eurovision Winner 2026

icon for Eurovision Winner 2026

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 50.0%

Australia 25.0%

Greece 5.9%

Bulgaria 5.5%

Polymarket

$172,932,783 Vol.

Finland 50.0%

Australia 25.0%

Greece 5.9%

Bulgaria 5.5%

Polymarket

$172,932,783 Vol.

icon for Finland

Finland

$5,181,568 Vol.

50%

icon for Australia

Australia

$3,523,323 Vol.

25%

icon for Greece

Greece

$4,292,061 Vol.

6%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$4,157,692 Vol.

6%

icon for Romania

Romania

$3,392,631 Vol.

5%

icon for Israel

Israel

$3,405,203 Vol.

4%

icon for Denmark

Denmark

$2,875,312 Vol.

2%

icon for Italy

Italy

$4,191,304 Vol.

1%

icon for France

France

$3,654,552 Vol.

1%

icon for Moldova

Moldova

$4,550,876 Vol.

1%

icon for Sweden

Sweden

$2,530,258 Vol.

1%

icon for Croatia

Croatia

$5,165,655 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$3,197,501 Vol.

<1%

icon for Albania

Albania

$7,228,597 Vol.

<1%

icon for Czechia

Czechia

$2,571,915 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cyprus

Cyprus

$3,620,130 Vol.

<1%

icon for Malta

Malta

$3,584,779 Vol.

<1%

icon for Poland

Poland

$7,463,855 Vol.

<1%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$6,181,208 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austria

Austria

$7,558,837 Vol.

<1%

icon for Belgium

Belgium

$5,130,411 Vol.

<1%

icon for Germany

Germany

$4,103,520 Vol.

<1%

icon for Norway

Norway

$5,336,617 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lithuania

Lithuania

$5,716,253 Vol.

<1%

icon for United Kingdom

United Kingdom

$4,205,948 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's commanding position stems from months of consistent frontrunner status for "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, which has surged further after strong rehearsals and a favorable 17th-slot draw in Vienna's grand final. Traders view the track's polished staging and broad jury appeal as decisive, especially against a field where televote-driven surprises remain possible. Australia has climbed to second place following Delta Goodrem's solid semi-final showing with "Eclipse," though it trails significantly in overall consensus. Lower contenders like Greece and Bulgaria sit further back due to more modest rehearsal feedback and limited momentum in recent previews. With the final set for tomorrow, late shifts in jury or televote sentiment could still reshape the outcome.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$172,932,783
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's commanding position stems from months of consistent frontrunner status for "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, which has surged further after strong rehearsals and a favorable 17th-slot draw in Vienna's grand final. Traders view the track's polished staging and broad jury appeal as decisive, especially against a field where televote-driven surprises remain possible. Australia has climbed to second place following Delta Goodrem's solid semi-final showing with "Eclipse," though it trails significantly in overall consensus. Lower contenders like Greece and Bulgaria sit further back due to more modest rehearsal feedback and limited momentum in recent previews. With the final set for tomorrow, late shifts in jury or televote sentiment could still reshape the outcome.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$172,932,783
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 50%, followed by "Australia" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $172.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Australia" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.