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Eurovision Winner 2026

icon for Eurovision Winner 2026

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 51.0%

Australia 20.6%

Romania 6.7%

Greece 6.3%

Polymarket

$170,754,517 Vol.

Finland 51.0%

Australia 20.6%

Romania 6.7%

Greece 6.3%

Polymarket

$170,754,517 Vol.

icon for Finland

Finland

$5,058,298 Vol.

51%

icon for Australia

Australia

$3,328,398 Vol.

21%

icon for Romania

Romania

$3,233,004 Vol.

7%

icon for Greece

Greece

$4,195,540 Vol.

6%

icon for Israel

Israel

$3,313,140 Vol.

6%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$3,969,926 Vol.

3%

icon for Denmark

Denmark

$2,809,665 Vol.

3%

icon for Italy

Italy

$4,141,584 Vol.

2%

icon for France

France

$3,579,752 Vol.

1%

icon for Croatia

Croatia

$5,058,793 Vol.

1%

icon for Sweden

Sweden

$2,391,088 Vol.

1%

icon for Czechia

Czechia

$2,506,381 Vol.

1%

icon for Moldova

Moldova

$4,417,241 Vol.

1%

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$3,140,014 Vol.

1%

icon for Albania

Albania

$7,142,718 Vol.

<1%

icon for Malta

Malta

$3,495,471 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cyprus

Cyprus

$3,562,559 Vol.

<1%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$6,098,072 Vol.

<1%

icon for Norway

Norway

$5,215,678 Vol.

<1%

icon for Poland

Poland

$7,355,165 Vol.

<1%

icon for United Kingdom

United Kingdom

$4,150,950 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austria

Austria

$7,552,499 Vol.

<1%

icon for Belgium

Belgium

$5,122,924 Vol.

<1%

icon for Germany

Germany

$4,087,060 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lithuania

Lithuania

$5,713,048 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland has surged into clear frontrunner status for the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 final on May 16 in Vienna, driven by the high-energy performance art of Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen’s “Liekinheitin,” which dominated Finland’s UMK national selection and swept recent fan polls, jury awards, and bookmakers’ markets. Trader consensus reflects this momentum, pricing the entry above 50% implied probability after strong semi-final advancement and widespread praise for its chaotic staging and vocal delivery. Australia’s Delta Goodrem entry sits second, capitalizing on established international appeal, while Greece and Romania trail as dark-horse contenders with solid but narrower support. With the grand final imminent, late rehearsal buzz and televote patterns could still produce volatility, though the current market narrative centers on Finland’s dominant pre-contest trajectory.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$170,754,517
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland has surged into clear frontrunner status for the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 final on May 16 in Vienna, driven by the high-energy performance art of Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen’s “Liekinheitin,” which dominated Finland’s UMK national selection and swept recent fan polls, jury awards, and bookmakers’ markets. Trader consensus reflects this momentum, pricing the entry above 50% implied probability after strong semi-final advancement and widespread praise for its chaotic staging and vocal delivery. Australia’s Delta Goodrem entry sits second, capitalizing on established international appeal, while Greece and Romania trail as dark-horse contenders with solid but narrower support. With the grand final imminent, late rehearsal buzz and televote patterns could still produce volatility, though the current market narrative centers on Finland’s dominant pre-contest trajectory.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$170,754,517
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 51%, followed by "Australia" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $170.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Australia" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.