Trader consensus prices Croatia and draw outcomes near even at 49% implied probabilities, with Belgium at 44%, underscoring the finely balanced dynamics of this World Cup warm-up friendly at Stadion HNK Rijeka. Croatia holds a slight home advantage, bolstered by an unbeaten streak in their last four home matches, while head-to-head encounters often end in low-scoring draws, including the 0-0 at the 2022 World Cup. Recent injury concerns temper both sides: Luka Modric's recovery from late-April cheekbone surgery leaves his availability uncertain, and Belgium's newly announced World Cup squad includes fitness-questioned Romelu Lukaku alongside thigh-injured Zeno Debast and sidelined Amadou Onana. Experimental lineups expected ahead of the tournament keep the race tight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

If Croatia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: May 6, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Croatia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: May 6, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Croatia and draw outcomes near even at 49% implied probabilities, with Belgium at 44%, underscoring the finely balanced dynamics of this World Cup warm-up friendly at Stadion HNK Rijeka. Croatia holds a slight home advantage, bolstered by an unbeaten streak in their last four home matches, while head-to-head encounters often end in low-scoring draws, including the 0-0 at the 2022 World Cup. Recent injury concerns temper both sides: Luka Modric's recovery from late-April cheekbone surgery leaves his availability uncertain, and Belgium's newly announced World Cup squad includes fitness-questioned Romelu Lukaku alongside thigh-injured Zeno Debast and sidelined Amadou Onana. Experimental lineups expected ahead of the tournament keep the race tight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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