Trader consensus heavily favors Republic of Ireland at 88.5% implied probability in this international friendly, driven by a stark FIFA ranking gap—59th for Ireland versus 163rd for Grenada—and superior squad depth from European leagues. Ireland enters with momentum from a 2-0 training win over Murcia B on May 12, featuring goals from Alli and Idah, while coach Heimir Hallgrímsson's 21-man squad, named May 5, remains largely intact despite teenager Jaden Umeh's withdrawal. Grenada, fresh off heavy defeats like 0-3 to Kenya and 0-4 to Rwanda in March FIFA Series, fields a squad including overseas pros like Lucas Akins but lacks comparable quality. With no head-to-head history and a neutral venue in Murcia, Spain, upset risks include Ireland's experimental lineups or complacency, though barriers remain high for draw (9.5%) or Grenada (4.3%).
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

If Republic of Ireland wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 19, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Republic of Ireland wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 19, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors Republic of Ireland at 88.5% implied probability in this international friendly, driven by a stark FIFA ranking gap—59th for Ireland versus 163rd for Grenada—and superior squad depth from European leagues. Ireland enters with momentum from a 2-0 training win over Murcia B on May 12, featuring goals from Alli and Idah, while coach Heimir Hallgrímsson's 21-man squad, named May 5, remains largely intact despite teenager Jaden Umeh's withdrawal. Grenada, fresh off heavy defeats like 0-3 to Kenya and 0-4 to Rwanda in March FIFA Series, fields a squad including overseas pros like Lucas Akins but lacks comparable quality. With no head-to-head history and a neutral venue in Murcia, Spain, upset risks include Ireland's experimental lineups or complacency, though barriers remain high for draw (9.5%) or Grenada (4.3%).
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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