Trader consensus favors Netherlands at 53.5% implied probability to win Group F, bolstered by their No. 7 FIFA ranking, squad depth under Ronald Koeman—who delayed final roster cuts hours ago to assess recovering players despite earlier blows like Xavi Simons' ACL tear—and historical group-stage prowess. Japan holds 25.5% amid early qualification as Asia's first entrant, but star winger Kaoru Mitoma's serious hamstring injury three days ago clouds their attack. Sweden's 13.5% reflects a squad unveiled two days ago starring fit Premier League forwards Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyökeres, fueling upset potential in this competitive draw. Tunisia lags at 5.1% as the lowest-ranked side with limited firepower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNetherlands 54%
Japan 26%
Sweden 14%
Tunisia 5.1%
$131,727 Vol.
$131,727 Vol.
Netherlands
54%
Japan
26%
Sweden
14%
Tunisia
5%
Netherlands 54%
Japan 26%
Sweden 14%
Tunisia 5.1%
$131,727 Vol.
$131,727 Vol.
Netherlands
54%
Japan
26%
Sweden
14%
Tunisia
5%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Netherlands at 53.5% implied probability to win Group F, bolstered by their No. 7 FIFA ranking, squad depth under Ronald Koeman—who delayed final roster cuts hours ago to assess recovering players despite earlier blows like Xavi Simons' ACL tear—and historical group-stage prowess. Japan holds 25.5% amid early qualification as Asia's first entrant, but star winger Kaoru Mitoma's serious hamstring injury three days ago clouds their attack. Sweden's 13.5% reflects a squad unveiled two days ago starring fit Premier League forwards Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyökeres, fueling upset potential in this competitive draw. Tunisia lags at 5.1% as the lowest-ranked side with limited firepower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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