England's 72% implied probability as Group L winner stems from their elite FIFA ranking (4th), depth featuring Harry Kane, Jude Bellingham, and Thomas Tuchel's tactical edge, positioning them to dominate the group stage where top two advance. Croatia's 20% reflects Luka Modrić's leadership and semifinal pedigree despite an aging squad (11th-ranked), bolstered by strong Nations League form. Ghana's odds dipped to 6.3% after key absences—Mohammed Salisu ruled out with ACL tear since January and Mohammed Kudus sidelined by hamstring issues—curbing their physical counter threat. Panama trails at 2.8% as the lowest-ranked (33rd) underdog. Recent training camps highlight England's intensity with no new injuries, while squads finalize by May 22, driving trader consensus amid clean bills for favorites.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEngland 72%
Croatia 20%
Ghana 6.5%
Panama 2.8%
$41,116 Vol.
$41,116 Vol.
England
72%
Croatia
20%
Ghana
6%
Panama
3%
England 72%
Croatia 20%
Ghana 6.5%
Panama 2.8%
$41,116 Vol.
$41,116 Vol.
England
72%
Croatia
20%
Ghana
6%
Panama
3%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...England's 72% implied probability as Group L winner stems from their elite FIFA ranking (4th), depth featuring Harry Kane, Jude Bellingham, and Thomas Tuchel's tactical edge, positioning them to dominate the group stage where top two advance. Croatia's 20% reflects Luka Modrić's leadership and semifinal pedigree despite an aging squad (11th-ranked), bolstered by strong Nations League form. Ghana's odds dipped to 6.3% after key absences—Mohammed Salisu ruled out with ACL tear since January and Mohammed Kudus sidelined by hamstring issues—curbing their physical counter threat. Panama trails at 2.8% as the lowest-ranked (33rd) underdog. Recent training camps highlight England's intensity with no new injuries, while squads finalize by May 22, driving trader consensus amid clean bills for favorites.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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