**Strong AI demand for training and inference workloads has kept B200 rental prices elevated and volatile through mid-2026.** Supply constraints persist despite TSMC production ramps, with on-demand rates ranging from roughly $3.50–$6 per GPU-hour on neoclouds like Spheron and Lambda to $12–$14+ on hyperscalers such as AWS p6 instances. Indices showed surges of 20–24% earlier in the year before partial pullbacks, reflecting hyperscaler pre-bookings, agentic inference growth, and limited new cluster availability through late 2026. Upcoming Vera Rubin deployments and expanded Blackwell capacity could ease pressure later in the year, though much of the near-term supply remains allocated to major labs and cloud providers. Traders monitor spot versus reserved spreads and provider-specific availability for signals on whether prices stabilize or decline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $8.00
51%
↑ $7.50
51%
↑ $7.00
66%
↑ $6.50
89%
↓ $5.50
90%
↓ $5.00
51%
↓ $4.50
51%
↓ $4.00
100%
↓ $3.50
51%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $8.00
$0 Vol.
51%
↑ $7.50
$0 Vol.
51%
↑ $7.00
$0 Vol.
66%
↑ $6.50
$0 Vol.
89%
↓ $5.50
$0 Vol.
90%
↓ $5.00
$0 Vol.
51%
↓ $4.50
$0 Vol.
51%
↓ $4.00
$0 Vol.
100%
↓ $3.50
$0 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.**Strong AI demand for training and inference workloads has kept B200 rental prices elevated and volatile through mid-2026.** Supply constraints persist despite TSMC production ramps, with on-demand rates ranging from roughly $3.50–$6 per GPU-hour on neoclouds like Spheron and Lambda to $12–$14+ on hyperscalers such as AWS p6 instances. Indices showed surges of 20–24% earlier in the year before partial pullbacks, reflecting hyperscaler pre-bookings, agentic inference growth, and limited new cluster availability through late 2026.
Upcoming Vera Rubin deployments and expanded Blackwell capacity could ease pressure later in the year, though much of the near-term supply remains allocated to major labs and cloud providers. Traders monitor spot versus reserved spreads and provider-specific availability for signals on whether prices stabilize or decline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.**Strong AI demand for training and inference workloads has kept B200 rental prices elevated and volatile through mid-2026.** Supply constraints persist despite TSMC production ramps, with on-demand rates ranging from roughly $3.50–$6 per GPU-hour on neoclouds like Spheron and Lambda to $12–$14+ on hyperscalers such as AWS p6 instances. Indices showed surges of 20–24% earlier in the year before partial pullbacks, reflecting hyperscaler pre-bookings, agentic inference growth, and limited new cluster availability through late 2026.
Upcoming Vera Rubin deployments and expanded Blackwell capacity could ease pressure later in the year, though much of the near-term supply remains allocated to major labs and cloud providers. Traders monitor spot versus reserved spreads and provider-specific availability for signals on whether prices stabilize or decline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Strong AI demand for training and inference workloads has kept B200 rental prices elevated and volatile through mid-2026.** Supply constraints persist despite TSMC production ramps, with on-demand rates ranging from roughly $3.50–$6 per GPU-hour on neoclouds like Spheron and Lambda to $12–$14+ on hyperscalers such as AWS p6 instances. Indices showed surges of 20–24% earlier in the year before partial pullbacks, reflecting hyperscaler pre-bookings, agentic inference growth, and limited new cluster availability through late 2026. Upcoming Vera Rubin deployments and expanded Blackwell capacity could ease pressure later in the year, though much of the near-term supply remains allocated to major labs and cloud providers. Traders monitor spot versus reserved spreads and provider-specific availability for signals on whether prices stabilize or decline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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