Strong AI inference and training demand, combined with persistent supply bottlenecks on newer Blackwell GPUs, has driven H100 rental prices higher through 2026 after 2025 lows. Neocloud and marketplace on-demand rates now cluster around $3.00–$3.50 per GPU-hour (median near $3.39), with hyperscalers at $6–$12 and spot capacity often $1–$2. Recent tightening reflects delayed Blackwell ramps, HBM3e memory shortages, TSMC CoWoS packaging limits, and power constraints that have kept Hopper capacity booked and pushed contract rates up roughly 40% from late-2025 troughs. NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang highlighted durable H100 utilization at ~$3.28/hour. Traders watch Blackwell cluster deployments, memory supply easing, and inference load growth as key swing factors for year-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$10,194 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
↑ $3.50
83%
↓ $2.25
45%
↓ $2.00
41%
↓ $1.50
26%
$10,194 Vol.
↑ $3.50
$2,593 Vol.
83%
↓ $2.25
$2,390 Vol.
45%
↓ $2.00
$2,807 Vol.
41%
↓ $1.50
$219 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H100 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Strong AI inference and training demand, combined with persistent supply bottlenecks on newer Blackwell GPUs, has driven H100 rental prices higher through 2026 after 2025 lows. Neocloud and marketplace on-demand rates now cluster around $3.00–$3.50 per GPU-hour (median near $3.39), with hyperscalers at $6–$12 and spot capacity often $1–$2. Recent tightening reflects delayed Blackwell ramps, HBM3e memory shortages, TSMC CoWoS packaging limits, and power constraints that have kept Hopper capacity booked and pushed contract rates up roughly 40% from late-2025 troughs. NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang highlighted durable H100 utilization at ~$3.28/hour. Traders watch Blackwell cluster deployments, memory supply easing, and inference load growth as key swing factors for year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H100 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:21 AM ET
Volume
$10,194End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H100 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Strong AI inference and training demand, combined with persistent supply bottlenecks on newer Blackwell GPUs, has driven H100 rental prices higher through 2026 after 2025 lows. Neocloud and marketplace on-demand rates now cluster around $3.00–$3.50 per GPU-hour (median near $3.39), with hyperscalers at $6–$12 and spot capacity often $1–$2. Recent tightening reflects delayed Blackwell ramps, HBM3e memory shortages, TSMC CoWoS packaging limits, and power constraints that have kept Hopper capacity booked and pushed contract rates up roughly 40% from late-2025 troughs. NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang highlighted durable H100 utilization at ~$3.28/hour. Traders watch Blackwell cluster deployments, memory supply easing, and inference load growth as key swing factors for year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H100 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$10,194End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong AI inference and training demand, combined with persistent supply bottlenecks on newer Blackwell GPUs, has driven H100 rental prices higher through 2026 after 2025 lows. Neocloud and marketplace on-demand rates now cluster around $3.00–$3.50 per GPU-hour (median near $3.39), with hyperscalers at $6–$12 and spot capacity often $1–$2. Recent tightening reflects delayed Blackwell ramps, HBM3e memory shortages, TSMC CoWoS packaging limits, and power constraints that have kept Hopper capacity booked and pushed contract rates up roughly 40% from late-2025 troughs. NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang highlighted durable H100 utilization at ~$3.28/hour. Traders watch Blackwell cluster deployments, memory supply easing, and inference load growth as key swing factors for year-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions