As of mid-September 2026, H200 on-demand rental rates cluster between $2.60 per GPU-hour at providers like GMI Cloud and a median near $4.29 across neoclouds, with hyperscalers charging $7–10.60. The primary driver is expanded supply following NVIDIA’s August 2026 deliveries of roughly 20,000 units to Chinese firms such as ByteDance and Tencent, which eased prior inventory constraints on the 141 GB HBM3e Hopper variant. Marketplace platforms including Vast.ai and Together AI continue to undercut traditional hyperscalers, compressing averages while demand for memory-bound LLM inference sustains a modest premium over H100 rates. Key near-term catalysts include potential further export shipments, Blackwell ramp timelines, and any shifts in hyperscaler pricing or reserved-capacity offerings that could alter spot and committed rates through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$13,585 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
↑ $7.00
43%
↑ $6.00
49%
↓ $4.00
86%
↓ $3.75
63%
↓ $3.50
58%
↓ $3.00
56%
↓ $2.50
12%
$13,585 Vol.
↑ $7.00
$169 Vol.
43%
↑ $6.00
$213 Vol.
49%
↓ $4.00
$1,282 Vol.
86%
↓ $3.75
$4,470 Vol.
63%
↓ $3.50
$770 Vol.
58%
↓ $3.00
$3,308 Vol.
56%
↓ $2.50
$171 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.As of mid-September 2026, H200 on-demand rental rates cluster between $2.60 per GPU-hour at providers like GMI Cloud and a median near $4.29 across neoclouds, with hyperscalers charging $7–10.60. The primary driver is expanded supply following NVIDIA’s August 2026 deliveries of roughly 20,000 units to Chinese firms such as ByteDance and Tencent, which eased prior inventory constraints on the 141 GB HBM3e Hopper variant. Marketplace platforms including Vast.ai and Together AI continue to undercut traditional hyperscalers, compressing averages while demand for memory-bound LLM inference sustains a modest premium over H100 rates. Key near-term catalysts include potential further export shipments, Blackwell ramp timelines, and any shifts in hyperscaler pricing or reserved-capacity offerings that could alter spot and committed rates through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 6:34 PM ET
Volume
$13,585End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 6:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.As of mid-September 2026, H200 on-demand rental rates cluster between $2.60 per GPU-hour at providers like GMI Cloud and a median near $4.29 across neoclouds, with hyperscalers charging $7–10.60. The primary driver is expanded supply following NVIDIA’s August 2026 deliveries of roughly 20,000 units to Chinese firms such as ByteDance and Tencent, which eased prior inventory constraints on the 141 GB HBM3e Hopper variant. Marketplace platforms including Vast.ai and Together AI continue to undercut traditional hyperscalers, compressing averages while demand for memory-bound LLM inference sustains a modest premium over H100 rates. Key near-term catalysts include potential further export shipments, Blackwell ramp timelines, and any shifts in hyperscaler pricing or reserved-capacity offerings that could alter spot and committed rates through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$13,585End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 6:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As of mid-September 2026, H200 on-demand rental rates cluster between $2.60 per GPU-hour at providers like GMI Cloud and a median near $4.29 across neoclouds, with hyperscalers charging $7–10.60. The primary driver is expanded supply following NVIDIA’s August 2026 deliveries of roughly 20,000 units to Chinese firms such as ByteDance and Tencent, which eased prior inventory constraints on the 141 GB HBM3e Hopper variant. Marketplace platforms including Vast.ai and Together AI continue to undercut traditional hyperscalers, compressing averages while demand for memory-bound LLM inference sustains a modest premium over H100 rates. Key near-term catalysts include potential further export shipments, Blackwell ramp timelines, and any shifts in hyperscaler pricing or reserved-capacity offerings that could alter spot and committed rates through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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