Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Ankara's maximum temperature on August 3 will likely peak near 32–33 °C under typical early-August conditions of high pressure and clear skies, with limited moisture advection keeping humidity low. Ensemble guidance shows modest day-to-day variability driven by subtle shifts in upper-level ridging over the Anatolian plateau, while historical climatology places the seasonal average high around 32 °C. The market-implied probabilities concentrate on these values because recent model runs have stabilized near this range without signals of anomalous heat or cooling from passing troughs, though minor forecast adjustments could still occur with updated runs in the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 3?
33°C 45%
32°C 28%
34°C 19%
31°C 6%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
28%
33°C
45%
34°C
19%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 45%
32°C 28%
34°C 19%
31°C 6%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
28%
33°C
45%
34°C
19%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Ankara's maximum temperature on August 3 will likely peak near 32–33 °C under typical early-August conditions of high pressure and clear skies, with limited moisture advection keeping humidity low. Ensemble guidance shows modest day-to-day variability driven by subtle shifts in upper-level ridging over the Anatolian plateau, while historical climatology places the seasonal average high around 32 °C. The market-implied probabilities concentrate on these values because recent model runs have stabilized near this range without signals of anomalous heat or cooling from passing troughs, though minor forecast adjustments could still occur with updated runs in the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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