Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position Amsterdam's August 3 maximum near 31–32 °C under a building high-pressure ridge with southerly flow advecting warmer continental air and mostly clear skies promoting strong daytime insolation. Coastal sea-breeze effects and modest cloud development introduce slight cooling potential, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between 31 °C and 33 °C while limiting odds of extremes above 34 °C. Traders weigh these outputs against KNMI guidance and historical early-August baselines around 22–24 °C, with resolution hinging on the final observed reading at Amsterdam Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 3?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 3?
32°C 38%
31°C 30%
33°C 16%
30°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
30%
32°C
38%
33°C
16%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
31°C 30%
33°C 16%
30°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
27°C or below
$20 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$132 Vol.
2%
29°C
$407 Vol.
4%
30°C
$464 Vol.
10%
31°C
$199 Vol.
30%
32°C
$1,025 Vol.
38%
33°C
$1,112 Vol.
16%
34°C
$157 Vol.
6%
35°C
$318 Vol.
2%
36°C
$116 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$106 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position Amsterdam's August 3 maximum near 31–32 °C under a building high-pressure ridge with southerly flow advecting warmer continental air and mostly clear skies promoting strong daytime insolation. Coastal sea-breeze effects and modest cloud development introduce slight cooling potential, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between 31 °C and 33 °C while limiting odds of extremes above 34 °C. Traders weigh these outputs against KNMI guidance and historical early-August baselines around 22–24 °C, with resolution hinging on the final observed reading at Amsterdam Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$4,056End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position Amsterdam's August 3 maximum near 31–32 °C under a building high-pressure ridge with southerly flow advecting warmer continental air and mostly clear skies promoting strong daytime insolation. Coastal sea-breeze effects and modest cloud development introduce slight cooling potential, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between 31 °C and 33 °C while limiting odds of extremes above 34 °C. Traders weigh these outputs against KNMI guidance and historical early-August baselines around 22–24 °C, with resolution hinging on the final observed reading at Amsterdam Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,056End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position Amsterdam's August 3 maximum near 31–32 °C under a building high-pressure ridge with southerly flow advecting warmer continental air and mostly clear skies promoting strong daytime insolation. Coastal sea-breeze effects and modest cloud development introduce slight cooling potential, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between 31 °C and 33 °C while limiting odds of extremes above 34 °C. Traders weigh these outputs against KNMI guidance and historical early-August baselines around 22–24 °C, with resolution hinging on the final observed reading at Amsterdam Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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