Current forecasts for Tokyo on August 3, 2026, indicate a daily minimum near 24°C under mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with early-August climatology where overnight lows average 24–26°C amid persistent high humidity and urban heat retention. Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks show above-normal temperatures overall, but short-range guidance from sources like AccuWeather points to minimal overnight cooling without strong frontal passages or typhoon influences that could drop readings further. Ensemble model consistency around this value, combined with typical diurnal ranges of 8–12°C in the region, positions 24°C as the consensus outcome while allowing modest probability for 23°C or 25°C if local wind or cloud-cover variations occur. Traders weigh these factors against historical daily minima variability, with no major forecast shifts reported in the past 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 3?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 3?
24°C 57%
25°C 18%
23°C 9%
22°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
6%
23°C
9%
24°C
57%
25°C
18%
26°C
6%
27°C
5%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 57%
25°C 18%
23°C 9%
22°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
19°C or below
$42 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$42 Vol.
1%
21°C
$17 Vol.
5%
22°C
$17 Vol.
6%
23°C
$122 Vol.
9%
24°C
$27 Vol.
57%
25°C
$105 Vol.
18%
26°C
$18 Vol.
6%
27°C
$50 Vol.
5%
28°C
$32 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Tokyo on August 3, 2026, indicate a daily minimum near 24°C under mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with early-August climatology where overnight lows average 24–26°C amid persistent high humidity and urban heat retention. Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks show above-normal temperatures overall, but short-range guidance from sources like AccuWeather points to minimal overnight cooling without strong frontal passages or typhoon influences that could drop readings further. Ensemble model consistency around this value, combined with typical diurnal ranges of 8–12°C in the region, positions 24°C as the consensus outcome while allowing modest probability for 23°C or 25°C if local wind or cloud-cover variations occur. Traders weigh these factors against historical daily minima variability, with no major forecast shifts reported in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$483End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Tokyo on August 3, 2026, indicate a daily minimum near 24°C under mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with early-August climatology where overnight lows average 24–26°C amid persistent high humidity and urban heat retention. Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks show above-normal temperatures overall, but short-range guidance from sources like AccuWeather points to minimal overnight cooling without strong frontal passages or typhoon influences that could drop readings further. Ensemble model consistency around this value, combined with typical diurnal ranges of 8–12°C in the region, positions 24°C as the consensus outcome while allowing modest probability for 23°C or 25°C if local wind or cloud-cover variations occur. Traders weigh these factors against historical daily minima variability, with no major forecast shifts reported in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$483End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Tokyo on August 3, 2026, indicate a daily minimum near 24°C under mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with early-August climatology where overnight lows average 24–26°C amid persistent high humidity and urban heat retention. Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks show above-normal temperatures overall, but short-range guidance from sources like AccuWeather points to minimal overnight cooling without strong frontal passages or typhoon influences that could drop readings further. Ensemble model consistency around this value, combined with typical diurnal ranges of 8–12°C in the region, positions 24°C as the consensus outcome while allowing modest probability for 23°C or 25°C if local wind or cloud-cover variations occur. Traders weigh these factors against historical daily minima variability, with no major forecast shifts reported in the past 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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