Recent forecast guidance and climatological patterns position 28°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 3, reflecting typical early-August conditions where overnight lows commonly range 25–28°C amid high humidity and urban heat retention. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses shows limited cooling potential from current warm patterns, with daytime highs near 34–36°C sustaining elevated minima, while historical data place early-month averages around 26°C. Trader emphasis on 27–28°C aligns with the narrow window before any potential typhoon-related shifts or clearer nights, though forecast uncertainty remains due to evolving steering patterns and the two-day lead time to resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 3?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 3?
28°C 51%
27°C 30%
29°C 9%
23°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
13%
27°C
30%
28°C
51%
29°C
9%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 51%
27°C 30%
29°C 9%
23°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
22°C or below
$52 Vol.
1%
23°C
$52 Vol.
7%
24°C
$42 Vol.
3%
25°C
$37 Vol.
5%
26°C
$133 Vol.
13%
27°C
$112 Vol.
30%
28°C
$195 Vol.
51%
29°C
$20 Vol.
9%
30°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$52 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance and climatological patterns position 28°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 3, reflecting typical early-August conditions where overnight lows commonly range 25–28°C amid high humidity and urban heat retention. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses shows limited cooling potential from current warm patterns, with daytime highs near 34–36°C sustaining elevated minima, while historical data place early-month averages around 26°C. Trader emphasis on 27–28°C aligns with the narrow window before any potential typhoon-related shifts or clearer nights, though forecast uncertainty remains due to evolving steering patterns and the two-day lead time to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$787End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance and climatological patterns position 28°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 3, reflecting typical early-August conditions where overnight lows commonly range 25–28°C amid high humidity and urban heat retention. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses shows limited cooling potential from current warm patterns, with daytime highs near 34–36°C sustaining elevated minima, while historical data place early-month averages around 26°C. Trader emphasis on 27–28°C aligns with the narrow window before any potential typhoon-related shifts or clearer nights, though forecast uncertainty remains due to evolving steering patterns and the two-day lead time to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$787End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance and climatological patterns position 28°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 3, reflecting typical early-August conditions where overnight lows commonly range 25–28°C amid high humidity and urban heat retention. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses shows limited cooling potential from current warm patterns, with daytime highs near 34–36°C sustaining elevated minima, while historical data place early-month averages around 26°C. Trader emphasis on 27–28°C aligns with the narrow window before any potential typhoon-related shifts or clearer nights, though forecast uncertainty remains due to evolving steering patterns and the two-day lead time to resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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