Shanghai's humid subtropical climate in late July typically produces minimum temperatures of 25–28°C by early August, driven by the East Asian monsoon, high humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy or urban conditions. Recent model runs show modest variability from potential weak frontal passages or varying wind speeds, which can shift overnight lows by 1–3°C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with closely matched probabilities around 27–29°C arising from ensemble forecast spread in boundary-layer moisture and local urban heat retention rather than major synoptic shifts. Updated short-range guidance from regional models will refine the exact minimum ahead of August 1.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 1?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 1?
32°C or higher 56%
27°C 22%
28°C 22%
29°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 1, 2026
22°C or below
7%
23°C
14%
24°C
11%
25°C
14%
26°C
18%
27°C
22%
28°C
22%
29°C
18%
30°C
15%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
56%
32°C or higher 56%
27°C 22%
28°C 22%
29°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 1, 2026
22°C or below
$22 Vol.
7%
23°C
$22 Vol.
14%
24°C
$0 Vol.
11%
25°C
$0 Vol.
14%
26°C
$0 Vol.
18%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$0 Vol.
22%
29°C
$0 Vol.
18%
30°C
$0 Vol.
15%
31°C
$0 Vol.
13%
32°C or higher
$22 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's humid subtropical climate in late July typically produces minimum temperatures of 25–28°C by early August, driven by the East Asian monsoon, high humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy or urban conditions. Recent model runs show modest variability from potential weak frontal passages or varying wind speeds, which can shift overnight lows by 1–3°C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with closely matched probabilities around 27–29°C arising from ensemble forecast spread in boundary-layer moisture and local urban heat retention rather than major synoptic shifts. Updated short-range guidance from regional models will refine the exact minimum ahead of August 1.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$65End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's humid subtropical climate in late July typically produces minimum temperatures of 25–28°C by early August, driven by the East Asian monsoon, high humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy or urban conditions. Recent model runs show modest variability from potential weak frontal passages or varying wind speeds, which can shift overnight lows by 1–3°C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with closely matched probabilities around 27–29°C arising from ensemble forecast spread in boundary-layer moisture and local urban heat retention rather than major synoptic shifts. Updated short-range guidance from regional models will refine the exact minimum ahead of August 1.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$65End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Shanghai's humid subtropical climate in late July typically produces minimum temperatures of 25–28°C by early August, driven by the East Asian monsoon, high humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy or urban conditions. Recent model runs show modest variability from potential weak frontal passages or varying wind speeds, which can shift overnight lows by 1–3°C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with closely matched probabilities around 27–29°C arising from ensemble forecast spread in boundary-layer moisture and local urban heat retention rather than major synoptic shifts. Updated short-range guidance from regional models will refine the exact minimum ahead of August 1.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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