Current forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on August 3 near 20–21°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. High-pressure dominance and easterly flow have sustained above-normal warmth through early August, with recent model runs showing limited overnight cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds. Variability stems from small differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and boundary-layer mixing that could trim the low by 1–2°C or hold it higher. Updated runs expected over the next 48 hours, along with official Météo-France bulletins, will refine the exact minimum ahead of the daily resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 3?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 3?
20°C 32%
19°C 30%
21°C 22%
17°C or below 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
17°C or below
15%
18°C
14%
19°C
30%
20°C
32%
21°C
22%
22°C
10%
23°C
9%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
20°C 32%
19°C 30%
21°C 22%
17°C or below 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
17°C or below
$29 Vol.
15%
18°C
$65 Vol.
14%
19°C
$0 Vol.
30%
20°C
$0 Vol.
32%
21°C
$0 Vol.
22%
22°C
$0 Vol.
10%
23°C
$0 Vol.
9%
24°C
$276 Vol.
7%
25°C
$175 Vol.
2%
26°C
$32 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on August 3 near 20–21°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. High-pressure dominance and easterly flow have sustained above-normal warmth through early August, with recent model runs showing limited overnight cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds. Variability stems from small differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and boundary-layer mixing that could trim the low by 1–2°C or hold it higher. Updated runs expected over the next 48 hours, along with official Météo-France bulletins, will refine the exact minimum ahead of the daily resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$577End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on August 3 near 20–21°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. High-pressure dominance and easterly flow have sustained above-normal warmth through early August, with recent model runs showing limited overnight cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds. Variability stems from small differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and boundary-layer mixing that could trim the low by 1–2°C or hold it higher. Updated runs expected over the next 48 hours, along with official Météo-France bulletins, will refine the exact minimum ahead of the daily resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$577End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on August 3 near 20–21°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. High-pressure dominance and easterly flow have sustained above-normal warmth through early August, with recent model runs showing limited overnight cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds. Variability stems from small differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and boundary-layer mixing that could trim the low by 1–2°C or hold it higher. Updated runs expected over the next 48 hours, along with official Météo-France bulletins, will refine the exact minimum ahead of the daily resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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