Short-range ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models show high uncertainty for Busan’s August 3 peak temperature, with 35–36°C outcomes trading near even odds. Coastal location amplifies sensitivity to sea-breeze timing and strength, which can cap daytime highs or allow brief spikes depending on wind direction and marine layer depth. Current synoptic setup features weak high pressure with variable moisture and limited cloud cover, keeping model spreads tight around 34–37°C. New 00Z and 12Z runs plus local mesoscale guidance will likely drive the next market shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 3?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 3?
36°C 35%
35°C 28%
37°C 16%
38°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
32°C or below
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
12%
35°C
28%
36°C
35%
37°C
16%
38°C
14%
39°C
2%
40°C
4%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 35%
35°C 28%
37°C 16%
38°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
32°C or below
$31 Vol.
2%
33°C
$82 Vol.
4%
34°C
$87 Vol.
12%
35°C
$143 Vol.
28%
36°C
$121 Vol.
35%
37°C
$212 Vol.
16%
38°C
$189 Vol.
14%
39°C
$165 Vol.
2%
40°C
$10 Vol.
4%
41°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$74 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models show high uncertainty for Busan’s August 3 peak temperature, with 35–36°C outcomes trading near even odds. Coastal location amplifies sensitivity to sea-breeze timing and strength, which can cap daytime highs or allow brief spikes depending on wind direction and marine layer depth. Current synoptic setup features weak high pressure with variable moisture and limited cloud cover, keeping model spreads tight around 34–37°C. New 00Z and 12Z runs plus local mesoscale guidance will likely drive the next market shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,125End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models show high uncertainty for Busan’s August 3 peak temperature, with 35–36°C outcomes trading near even odds. Coastal location amplifies sensitivity to sea-breeze timing and strength, which can cap daytime highs or allow brief spikes depending on wind direction and marine layer depth. Current synoptic setup features weak high pressure with variable moisture and limited cloud cover, keeping model spreads tight around 34–37°C. New 00Z and 12Z runs plus local mesoscale guidance will likely drive the next market shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,125End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models show high uncertainty for Busan’s August 3 peak temperature, with 35–36°C outcomes trading near even odds. Coastal location amplifies sensitivity to sea-breeze timing and strength, which can cap daytime highs or allow brief spikes depending on wind direction and marine layer depth. Current synoptic setup features weak high pressure with variable moisture and limited cloud cover, keeping model spreads tight around 34–37°C. New 00Z and 12Z runs plus local mesoscale guidance will likely drive the next market shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions