Recent forecasts for Cape Town indicate fine, cool conditions with light to moderate southerly winds over the next several days, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 21–23°C for the August 3 daily maximum. These temperatures sit modestly above long-term August averages near 17–18°C, reflecting typical late-winter variability driven by the interaction of Atlantic air masses, potential cold-front passages, and localized orographic effects from Table Mountain. Short-range model guidance shows limited spread, yet small shifts in cloud cover, wind strength, or timing of any frontal passage could alter the peak by 1–2°C, sustaining the tight probability distribution among the leading outcomes. Official updates from regional meteorological services in the coming 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 3?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 3?
21°C 26%
22°C 25%
23°C 24%
20°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
26%
22°C
25%
23°C
24%
24°C
8%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 26%
22°C 25%
23°C 24%
20°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
16°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
17°C
$397 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$70 Vol.
3%
19°C
$62 Vol.
4%
20°C
$68 Vol.
10%
21°C
$132 Vol.
26%
22°C
$72 Vol.
25%
23°C
$252 Vol.
24%
24°C
$110 Vol.
8%
25°C
$36 Vol.
5%
26°C or higher
$60 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Cape Town indicate fine, cool conditions with light to moderate southerly winds over the next several days, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 21–23°C for the August 3 daily maximum. These temperatures sit modestly above long-term August averages near 17–18°C, reflecting typical late-winter variability driven by the interaction of Atlantic air masses, potential cold-front passages, and localized orographic effects from Table Mountain. Short-range model guidance shows limited spread, yet small shifts in cloud cover, wind strength, or timing of any frontal passage could alter the peak by 1–2°C, sustaining the tight probability distribution among the leading outcomes. Official updates from regional meteorological services in the coming 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,268End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Cape Town indicate fine, cool conditions with light to moderate southerly winds over the next several days, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 21–23°C for the August 3 daily maximum. These temperatures sit modestly above long-term August averages near 17–18°C, reflecting typical late-winter variability driven by the interaction of Atlantic air masses, potential cold-front passages, and localized orographic effects from Table Mountain. Short-range model guidance shows limited spread, yet small shifts in cloud cover, wind strength, or timing of any frontal passage could alter the peak by 1–2°C, sustaining the tight probability distribution among the leading outcomes. Official updates from regional meteorological services in the coming 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,268End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Cape Town indicate fine, cool conditions with light to moderate southerly winds over the next several days, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 21–23°C for the August 3 daily maximum. These temperatures sit modestly above long-term August averages near 17–18°C, reflecting typical late-winter variability driven by the interaction of Atlantic air masses, potential cold-front passages, and localized orographic effects from Table Mountain. Short-range model guidance shows limited spread, yet small shifts in cloud cover, wind strength, or timing of any frontal passage could alter the peak by 1–2°C, sustaining the tight probability distribution among the leading outcomes. Official updates from regional meteorological services in the coming 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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