Multiple ensemble forecast models indicate persistent cloud cover and moderate rainfall across Guangzhou on August 3, limiting surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling in the region's humid subtropical climate. This supports the market's tight clustering around 30–31 °C as the most probable highs, with the near-even split between those outcomes reflecting remaining uncertainty in precipitation timing and any brief clear spells. Lower probabilities for 32 °C or above align with the low likelihood of significant breaks in the overcast deck, while cooler thresholds account for heavier rain scenarios. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 3?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 3?
31°C 29%
30°C 27%
29°C 17%
32°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
17%
30°C
27%
31°C
29%
32°C
11%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 29%
30°C 27%
29°C 17%
32°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
24°C or below
$423 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$43 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$29 Vol.
2%
27°C
$41 Vol.
3%
28°C
$15 Vol.
6%
29°C
$52 Vol.
17%
30°C
$52 Vol.
27%
31°C
$87 Vol.
29%
32°C
$135 Vol.
11%
33°C
$103 Vol.
5%
34°C or higher
$309 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Multiple ensemble forecast models indicate persistent cloud cover and moderate rainfall across Guangzhou on August 3, limiting surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling in the region's humid subtropical climate. This supports the market's tight clustering around 30–31 °C as the most probable highs, with the near-even split between those outcomes reflecting remaining uncertainty in precipitation timing and any brief clear spells. Lower probabilities for 32 °C or above align with the low likelihood of significant breaks in the overcast deck, while cooler thresholds account for heavier rain scenarios. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$1,289End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Multiple ensemble forecast models indicate persistent cloud cover and moderate rainfall across Guangzhou on August 3, limiting surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling in the region's humid subtropical climate. This supports the market's tight clustering around 30–31 °C as the most probable highs, with the near-even split between those outcomes reflecting remaining uncertainty in precipitation timing and any brief clear spells. Lower probabilities for 32 °C or above align with the low likelihood of significant breaks in the overcast deck, while cooler thresholds account for heavier rain scenarios. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,289End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Multiple ensemble forecast models indicate persistent cloud cover and moderate rainfall across Guangzhou on August 3, limiting surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling in the region's humid subtropical climate. This supports the market's tight clustering around 30–31 °C as the most probable highs, with the near-even split between those outcomes reflecting remaining uncertainty in precipitation timing and any brief clear spells. Lower probabilities for 32 °C or above align with the low likelihood of significant breaks in the overcast deck, while cooler thresholds account for heavier rain scenarios. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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