Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate typically produces early-August daily highs near 33–34°C, driven by persistent high pressure, elevated humidity above 70%, and limited cloud cover that allows strong solar heating. With the August 3 forecast still subject to short-range model updates from agencies like China’s National Meteorological Center, traders see the tightest odds clustered around 25–28°C because modest shifts in steering winds, overnight cloudiness, or scattered thunderstorms can easily trim peak temperatures by several degrees. Historical analogs show that brief rain events or stronger southerly flow frequently cap maxima in this range, while clearer, drier conditions push readings above 30°C, explaining why probabilities remain dispersed across the middle outcomes rather than concentrating on the long-term average.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 3?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 3?
26°C 30%
27°C 23%
25°C 17%
28°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
23°C or below
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
17%
26°C
30%
27°C
23%
28°C
16%
29°C
6%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 30%
27°C 23%
25°C 17%
28°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
23°C or below
$1,311 Vol.
3%
24°C
$56 Vol.
5%
25°C
$64 Vol.
17%
26°C
$115 Vol.
30%
27°C
$865 Vol.
23%
28°C
$179 Vol.
16%
29°C
$30 Vol.
6%
30°C
$258 Vol.
4%
31°C
$93 Vol.
2%
32°C
$86 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$341 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate typically produces early-August daily highs near 33–34°C, driven by persistent high pressure, elevated humidity above 70%, and limited cloud cover that allows strong solar heating. With the August 3 forecast still subject to short-range model updates from agencies like China’s National Meteorological Center, traders see the tightest odds clustered around 25–28°C because modest shifts in steering winds, overnight cloudiness, or scattered thunderstorms can easily trim peak temperatures by several degrees. Historical analogs show that brief rain events or stronger southerly flow frequently cap maxima in this range, while clearer, drier conditions push readings above 30°C, explaining why probabilities remain dispersed across the middle outcomes rather than concentrating on the long-term average.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$3,398End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate typically produces early-August daily highs near 33–34°C, driven by persistent high pressure, elevated humidity above 70%, and limited cloud cover that allows strong solar heating. With the August 3 forecast still subject to short-range model updates from agencies like China’s National Meteorological Center, traders see the tightest odds clustered around 25–28°C because modest shifts in steering winds, overnight cloudiness, or scattered thunderstorms can easily trim peak temperatures by several degrees. Historical analogs show that brief rain events or stronger southerly flow frequently cap maxima in this range, while clearer, drier conditions push readings above 30°C, explaining why probabilities remain dispersed across the middle outcomes rather than concentrating on the long-term average.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,398End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate typically produces early-August daily highs near 33–34°C, driven by persistent high pressure, elevated humidity above 70%, and limited cloud cover that allows strong solar heating. With the August 3 forecast still subject to short-range model updates from agencies like China’s National Meteorological Center, traders see the tightest odds clustered around 25–28°C because modest shifts in steering winds, overnight cloudiness, or scattered thunderstorms can easily trim peak temperatures by several degrees. Historical analogs show that brief rain events or stronger southerly flow frequently cap maxima in this range, while clearer, drier conditions push readings above 30°C, explaining why probabilities remain dispersed across the middle outcomes rather than concentrating on the long-term average.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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